Result
0:0
28/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Independiente Juniors
57.7% | Draw
23% | Vargas Torres
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Juniors's performance.Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vargas Torres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Juniors that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vargas Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Juniors - Vargas Torres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(2.2) |
3.99 ↑
(3) |
4.75 ↑
(3.1) |
9.2%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Juniors - Vargas Torres?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Juniors will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Juniors will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vargas Torres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Independiente Jr is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against Vargas Torres?
Independiente Juniors has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vargas Torres won against Independiente Juniors?
Vargas Torres has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Juniors - Vargas Torres were as follows:
11.10.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
Vargas Torres
2:0
23.08.2024
Vargas Torres
-
Independiente Juniors
0:0
03.07.2024
Vargas Torres
-
Independiente Juniors
1:1
12.03.2024
Independiente Juniors
-
Vargas Torres
1:1
06.09.2023
Vargas Torres
-
Independiente Juniors
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Juniors
Latest results of Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leones del Norte | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 22:12 | 10 | 34 |
| 2 | Nueve de Octubre | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 3 | Gualaceo | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
| 4 | Guayaquil City | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Ind. Juniors | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Cumbaya | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 26 |
| 8 | Atletico Vinotinto | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 31:24 | 7 | 25 |
| 9 | Vargas Torres | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 26:21 | 5 | 24 |
| 10 | 22 de Julio | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:29 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | Imbabura ✔ | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | Chacaritas ✔ | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )
