Result
2:0
09/05/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.99 | 0.18 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
78% (258/331) | 80% (325/406) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.99 | 0.18 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.71 | 0.69 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
78% (258/331) | 80% (325/406) |
Long passes |
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49% (28/57) | 35% (19/54) |
Passes in final third |
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66% (71/107) | 59% (48/82) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (5/15) | 15% (2/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.38 | 0.23 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (10/12) | 100% (8/8) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 34 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.69 | 2.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.69 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
- 22', Serna A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 35', 1 - 0, Londono K. ⚽, Penaranda A. (A),
- 41', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Penaranda A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Penaranda A. ↓, Pons L. ↑,
- 56', Fabry 🟨,
- 65', Torijano F. ↓, Angulo ↑,
- 65', Marcus Vinicius ↓, Loboa H. ↑,
- 65', Sambueza F. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 79', Pons L. 🟨,
- 80', Mosquera J. 🟨,
- 81', Romana C. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
- 82', Ortiz J. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
- 83', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 84', Arizala J. ↓, Estupinan D. ↑,
- 85', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
- 86', Aguerre W. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Flores L. ⚽, Castaneda F. (A),
- 90+7', Mosquera J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mejcpdm7
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga 31.1% | Draw 31.7% | Independiente Medellín 37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Bucaramanga's form might have worsened.Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.02 ↑ (2.5) |
2.94 ↓ (3.15) |
2.52 ↓ (2.7) |
6.8% (8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Independiente Medellín will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 1.
- Bucaramanga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ind Medellín has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Independiente Medellín has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
03.11.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Medellín
2:3
14.04.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
25.09.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:0
16.04.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Medellín
1:2
19.10.2022
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )