Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
29/10/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
  • Referee: Ruiz D. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.20
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
78% (299/384)77% (303/396)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.04
Total shots
155
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
198
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
617
Passes
78% (299/384)77% (303/396)
Long passes
37% (19/52)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
67% (55/82)60% (73/122)
Crosses
9% (1/11)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.38
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
176
Tackles
77% (10/13)93% (14/15)
Duels won
3750
Clearances
3410
Interceptions
312
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.042.05
Goals prevented
0.04-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', Charrupi G. 🟨,
  • 5', 1 - 0, Leon B. , Berrio L. (A),
  • 15', Loboa H. , Serna A. ,
  • 27', Berrio L. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Fydriszewski F. , Leon B. (A),
  • 40', 3 - 0, Berrio L. ,
  • 45+3', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Duarte B. , Romana C. ,
  • 46', Charrupi F. , Flores L. ,
  • 46', Moreno N. , Gil Mosquera F. A. ,
  • 65', Pons L. 🟨,
  • 66', Chaverra F. 🟨,
  • 71', Londono K. , Hinestroza F. ,
  • 73', Chaverra L. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 73', Chaverra F. , Arizala J. ,
  • 85', Fydriszewski F. , Barrera J. ,
  • 85', Berrio L. , Moreno D. ,
  • 87', Sambueza F. , Medina G. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr2vy5j5

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
53.4%
Draw
25.3%
Atlético Bucaramanga
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 24.2% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 23.8% 21.9%

Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.75
(1.72)
3.63
(3.8)
4.32
(4.14)
8.1%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga?
  • Users Predictions: Independiente Medellín will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4.
    • Ind Medellín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bucaramanga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 1.6:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín 2:0
    03.11.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín 2:3
    14.04.2024 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    25.09.2023 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:0
    16.04.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior53207:4311
    2Atl. Nacional52215:418
    3America De Cali51225:6-15
    4Ind. Medellin50233:6-32


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima53204:1311
    2Bucaramanga52214:228
    3Santa Fe52036:516
    4Fortaleza51043:9-63

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)