Result
2:0
09/05/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/331) | 80% (325/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/331) | 80% (325/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/107) | 59% (48/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
- 22', Serna A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 35', 1 - 0, Londono K. ⚽, Penaranda A. (A),
- 41', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Penaranda A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Penaranda A. ↓, Pons L. ↑,
- 56', Fabry 🟨,
- 65', Torijano F. ↓, Angulo ↑,
- 65', Marcus Vinicius ↓, Loboa H. ↑,
- 65', Sambueza F. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 79', Pons L. 🟨,
- 80', Mosquera J. 🟨,
- 81', Romana C. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
- 82', Ortiz J. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
- 83', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 84', Arizala J. ↓, Estupinan D. ↑,
- 85', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
- 86', Aguerre W. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Flores L. ⚽, Castaneda F. (A),
- 90+7', Mosquera J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mejcpdm7
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
31.1% | Draw
31.7% | Independiente Medellín
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Bucaramanga's form might have worsened.Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.5) |
2.94 ↓
(3.15) |
2.52 ↓
(2.7) |
6.8%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Independiente Medellín will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 1.
- Bucaramanga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ind Medellín has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Independiente Medellín has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
03.11.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Medellín
2:3
14.04.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
25.09.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:0
16.04.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Medellín
1:2
19.10.2022
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
