Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Women - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
415
Shots on target
28
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
415
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
27
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. (Pen),
  • 44', Doria Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 80', Tangarife V. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Aguirre L. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
26.5%
Draw
29.5%
Atlético Nacional
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 28.1% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 29.1% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Medellín's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (2.27)
    3.08
    (3.24)
    2.07
    (2.84)
    10.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Nacional will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Nacional will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 2:0
    03.07.2024 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 1:2
    18.06.2024 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 2:2
    22.04.2024 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 3:4
    05.06.2023 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 3:1
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Colombian Liga Women Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America de Cali W22007:166
    2Atl. Nacional W22006:066
    3Millonarios W22005:236
    4Inter Palmira W22004:226
    5Dep. Cali W21104:224
    6Llaneros W21102:024
    7Ind. Medellin W21014:313
    8Santa Fe W21013:303
    9Orsomarso W20111:3-21
    10Bucaramanga W20111:4-31
    11Fortaleza W20110:3-31
    12Junior W20110:3-31
    13Once Caldas W20110:3-31
    14Real Santander W20110:3-31
    15Inter Bogotu00e1 W20022:4-20
    16Dep. Pasto W20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )