Result
1:0
03/08/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (191/249) | 86% (400/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (191/249) | 86% (400/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 56% (29/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (40/70) | 67% (78/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 8% (2/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Ortiz J. ⚽,
- 23', Arias J. 🟨,
- 23', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
- 28', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Chaverra F. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 61', Mosquera E. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 67', Palacios H. 🟨,
- 74', Castro A. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 75', Loboa H. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
- 75', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 85', Garcia M. ↓, Segura N. ↑,
- 86', Mena Perea E. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 90+3', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Chaux E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5ymtwfa8
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
47.1% | Draw
30.3% | Millonarios
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millonarios might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Independiente Medellín - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.29) |
3.28 ↑
(3.03) |
4.58 ↑
(3.31) |
1.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Millonarios?
Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Independiente Medellín?
Millonarios has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Millonarios were as follows:
15.02.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
18.07.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Millonarios
1:1
21.01.2024
Millonarios
-
Independiente Medellín
5:0
30.11.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Millonarios
2:1
26.11.2023
Millonarios
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
