Result
0:0
02/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (159/211) | 71% (150/211) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (159/211) | 71% (150/211) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (39/67) | 62% (48/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Yony Gonzalez 🟨,
- 39', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Montano J. ↑,
- 46', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
- 50', Castro L. 🟨,
- 58', Llinas A. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
- 58', Castro L. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
- 59', Viveros S. 🟨,
- 68', Urena R. 🟨,
- 79', Angulo J. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 82', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 85', Urena R. 🟨,
- 90', Castro A. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 90', Arias J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Berrio L. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mpsvdmxr
Chances of winning
Millonarios
40.4% | Draw
29.3% | Independiente Medellín
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Millonarios - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.32) |
3.19 ↑
(3.05) |
3.09 ↓
(3.16) |
7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Independiente Medellín?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 1.
- Millonarios is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ind Medellín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Millonarios has had a series of away games.
- Millonarios will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Independiente Medellín?
Millonarios has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Millonarios?
Independiente Medellín has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
03.08.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Millonarios
1:0
15.02.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
18.07.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Millonarios
1:1
21.01.2024
Millonarios
-
Independiente Medellín
5:0
30.11.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Millonarios
2:1
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
