Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petroleros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz).

Division Profesional - Round 22
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.48	0.67
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
22	11
Shots on target
9	6
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
9	6
Passes
79% (243/309)	79% (267/337)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.61	0.71
Total shots
22	11
Shots on target
9	6
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
14	5
Shots outside the Box
8	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
34	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
13	15
Passes
79% (243/309)	79% (267/337)
Long passes
60% (45/75)	45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
66% (84/127)	80% (81/101)
Crosses
41% (13/32)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.58	0.86
Throw-ins
17	21
Fouls
15	13
Tackles
77% (10/13)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
51	37
Clearances
14	30
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	7
xGOT faced
0.71	1.61
Goals prevented
-0.29	-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Abastoflor C. ⚽, Amaral R. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Chajtur M. ⚽, Cardozo R. (A),
11', Morales D. 🟨,
45+3', Chala W. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Alvarez G. 🟨,
57', Diez R. ↓, Velasco M. ↑,
58', Berdecio J. ↓, Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↑,
58', Chajtur M. ↓, Willie ↑,
73', Amaral R. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
73', Bonilla M. ↓, Melean A. ↑,
79', Navarro D. ↓, Rivera A. ↑,
82', Willie 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+7', Alvarez G. (Pen),
90+7', 2 - 1, Alvarez G. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Oriente Petrolero
59.3%

Draw
22.6%

Independiente Petroleros
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

20.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

19%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	4.15 ↓ (4.5)	5.06 ↓ (5.26)	6.5% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 1.
Oriente Petrolero has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ind Petroleros is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Oriente Petrolero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Oriente Petrolero is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Independiente Petroleros?

Oriente Petrolero has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Oriente Petrolero?

Independiente Petroleros has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros were as follows:

26.07.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero 1:0

10.05.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero 5:2

29.04.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros 2:0

22.11.2024 Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros 1:1

21.05.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero 3:2

Latest results of Oriente Petrolero

20.09.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí 2:2 ✺

16.09.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Oriente Petrolero 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Real Oruro 3:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Blooming - Oriente Petrolero 4:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Always Ready - Oriente Petrolero 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Petroleros

20.09.2025 Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4:2 ✺

17.09.2025 The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros Postponed ✺

15.09.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Blooming 3:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros 0:3 ✺

24.08.2025 Real Oruro - Independiente Petroleros 3:4 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	23	17	4	2	66:23	43	55
2	The Strongest	22	16	1	5	59:37	22	49
3	Bolivar	21	13	4	4	52:23	29	43
4	Blooming	22	11	4	7	40:36	4	37
5	Guabira	22	10	4	8	45:41	4	34
6	SA Bulo Bulo	23	8	7	8	43:39	4	31
7	Independiente	22	8	6	8	37:43	-6	30
8	GV San Jose	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
9	Nacional Potosi	23	7	6	10	37:32	5	27
10	Oriente Petrolero	23	7	6	10	34:43	-9	27
11	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	7	10	28:42	-14	25
12	Real Oruro	23	6	6	11	38:50	-12	24
13	Tomayapo	22	5	8	9	23:37	-14	23
14	Academia del Balompie	23	5	8	10	25:40	-15	23
15	Wilstermann	23	2	6	15	18:48	-30	12
16	Aurora	22	8	4	10	39:41	-2	-5

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