Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Pacena - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (328/393) | 75% (209/280) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (328/393) | 75% (209/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (126/165) | 56% (30/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Nava F. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
- 41', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Vaca P. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Amaral R. ↓, Melean A. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Mercado A. ⚽, Cardozo R. (A),
- 57', Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
- 57', Alvarez G. ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,
- 66', Mercado A. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 76', Castellon D. ↓, Aguilera D. ↑,
- 82', Santacruz Rodas J. F. 🟨,
- 83', Villalba D. ↓, Chajtur M. ↑,
- 83', Willie ↓, Rivera A. ↑,
- 83', Rodriguez D. ↓, Diez R. ↑,
- 87', Chajtur M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Diez R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Chajtur M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
45% | Draw
25.6% | Oriente Petrolero
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Petroleros's form might have worsened.Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oriente Petrolero's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriente Petrolero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.72) |
3.57 ↓
(3.67) |
3.12 ↓
(4.07) |
9.3%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 3.
- Recent form of Ind Petroleros has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Oriente Petrolero has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Ind Petroleros is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Oriente Petrolero?
Independiente Petroleros has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Independiente Petroleros?
Oriente Petrolero has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero were as follows:
10.05.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Oriente Petrolero
5:2
29.04.2025
Oriente Petrolero
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:0
22.11.2024
Oriente Petrolero
-
Independiente Petroleros
1:1
21.05.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Oriente Petrolero
3:2
24.07.2023
Independiente Petroleros
-
Oriente Petrolero
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Latest results of Oriente Petrolero
