Result
1:3
07/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Colombia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (277/360) | 81% (316/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (277/360) | 81% (316/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 52% (37/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (54/99) | 73% (91/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', Rojas D. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Sosa G. ⚽, Forneris A. (A),
- 37', 0 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽, Sosa G. (A),
- 45+6', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
- 45+8', 1 - 2, Thomaz (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Leanos H. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 58', Rojas D. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
- 63', Cristaldo G. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
- 66', Sosa G. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 66', Adrian Martinez ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
- 66', Vergara D. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
- 75', Thomaz ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,
- 76', Cardozo R. ↓, Wagner Pinote ↑,
- 76', Rubio T. ↓, Cannavo E. ↑,
- 81', Zuculini B. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
- 82', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
- 88', Cannavo E. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Fernandez A. ⚽, Zaracho M. (A),
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
17.2% | Draw
24.3% | Racing
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Independiente Petroleros - Racing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.4 ↑
(4.56) |
3.85 ↑
(3.7) |
1.62 ↓
(1.7) |
6.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Racing?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Racing (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Ind Petroleros is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Racing is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ind Petroleros has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Racing is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Racing?
Independiente Petroleros has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Independiente Petroleros?
Racing has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Racing were as follows:
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Tigre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Puerto Cabello | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico-MG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Juventud | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Boston River | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Santos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Independiente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Palestino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Vasco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
