Independiente Rivadavia vs Barracas Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza).

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.29	0.54
Ball possession
73%	27%
Total shots
22	8
Shots on target
11	3
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
6	1
Passes
87% (444/512)	61% (124/203)
Yellow cards
6	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.29	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.52	0.84
Total shots
22	8
Shots on target
11	3
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
14	5
Shots outside the box
8	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
27	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
11	9
Passes
87% (444/512)	61% (124/203)
Long passes
62% (41/66)	30% (20/67)
Passes in final third
74% (116/156)	37% (25/67)
Crosses
19% (6/32)	33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	0.37
Throw ins
15	14
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
78% (7/9)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
40	38
Clearances
11	40
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	10
xGOT faced
0.84	2.52
Goals prevented
-1.16	1.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', Fernandez M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Morales G. ⚽, Demartini N. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Candia J. ⚽, Porra T. (A),
45+3', Mino M. 🟨,
45+4', Villalba I. 🟨,
45+4', Elordi J. M. 🟨,
45+5', Capraro N. 🟨,
45+5', Studer S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Villalba I. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
57', Rios G. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
57', Osella A. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
71', Fernandez M. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
71', Elordi J. M. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
76', Morales G. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
80', Mino M. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
80', Arce A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
85', Martinez D. ↓, Jappert K. ↑,
90+4', Candia J. 🟨,
90+4', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Independiente Rivadavia
62.6%

Draw
24.9%

Barracas Central
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

28.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

27.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.71)	3.77 ↑ (3.3)	7.32 ↑ (5.2)	6% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Independiente R is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Barracas Central: Jappert K. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Barracas Central?

Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barracas Central won against Independiente Rivadavia?

Barracas Central has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central were as follows:

20.07.2025 Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia 0:3

28.01.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 0:0

07.10.2024 Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1

29.02.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 1:3

Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia

02.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate 1:1 ✺

26.02.2026 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 3:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano 0:1 ✺

09.02.2026 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Barracas Central

01.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central 1:1 ✺

25.02.2026 Barracas Central - Tigre 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Platense - Barracas Central 1:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Rosario Central - Barracas Central 2:0 ✺

09.02.2026 Barracas Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P	13	7	3	3	16:7	9	24
2	Velez Sarsfield	12	6	4	2	14:9	5	22
3	Boca Juniors	13	5	6	2	15:8	7	21
4	Union de Santa Fe	13	5	4	4	19:14	5	19
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	4	7	1	15:10	5	19
6	Lanus	12	5	4	3	17:14	3	19
7	Independiente	13	4	6	3	19:16	3	18
8	Talleres Cordoba	12	5	3	4	12:11	1	18
9	San Lorenzo	13	4	6	3	12:12	0	18
10	Instituto	13	5	2	6	14:15	-1	17
11	Platense	13	3	7	3	7:8	-1	16
12	Gimnasia Mendoza	13	3	4	6	10:16	-6	13
13	Central Cordoba	12	3	3	6	6:15	-9	12
14	Newells Old Boys	13	2	4	7	10:23	-13	10
15	Dep. Riestra	13	0	7	6	3:10	-7	7

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia ✔	13	9	2	2	23:13	10	29
2	River Plate	13	8	2	3	19:9	10	26
3	Argentinos Jrs	13	6	5	2	14:10	4	23
4	Belgrano	13	6	4	3	13:12	1	22
5	Rosario Central	13	6	3	4	15:13	2	21
6	Huracan	13	5	5	3	15:10	5	20
7	Barracas Central	13	5	4	4	13:12	1	19
8	Tigre	13	4	6	3	16:12	4	18
9	Racing Club	13	5	3	5	15:13	2	18
10	Sarmiento Junin	12	5	1	6	10:12	-2	16
11	Gimnasia L.P	12	4	2	6	13:18	-5	14
12	Banfield	12	4	1	7	14:16	-2	13
13	Atl. Tucuman	13	2	4	7	13:18	-5	10
14	Aldosivi	13	0	6	7	3:14	-11	6
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	13	1	2	10	4:19	-15	5

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)