Independiente Rivadavia vs Barracas Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:2
11/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.290.54
Ball possession
73%27%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
113
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
61
Passes
87% (444/512)61% (124/203)
Yellow cards
63
Expected goals (xG)
1.290.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.520.84
Total shots
228
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
145
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
278
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
119
Passes
87% (444/512)61% (124/203)
Long passes
62% (41/66)30% (20/67)
Passes in final third
74% (116/156)37% (25/67)
Crosses
19% (6/32)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.37
Throw ins
1514
Fouls
911
Tackles
78% (7/9)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
1140
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
110
xGOT faced
0.842.52
Goals prevented
-1.161.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Morales G. ⚽, Demartini N. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Candia J. ⚽, Porra T. (A),
  • 45+3', Mino M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Villalba I. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Elordi J. M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Capraro N. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba I. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
  • 57', Rios G. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
  • 57', Osella A. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
  • 71', Fernandez M. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
  • 71', Elordi J. M. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
  • 76', Morales G. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
  • 80', Mino M. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
  • 80', Arce A. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
  • 85', Martinez D. ↓, Jappert K. ↑,
  • 90+4', Candia J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
62.6%		Draw
24.9%		Barracas Central
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 28.1% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 27.5% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.
  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
    •

    Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.52 ↓
    (1.71)    		 3.77 ↑
    (3.3)    		 7.32 ↑
    (5.2)    		 6%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Independiente R is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Jappert K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central were as follows:
    20.07.2025 Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia 0:3
    28.01.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 0:0
    07.10.2024 Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1
    29.02.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 1:3
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    02.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate 1:1 ✺
    26.02.2026 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 3:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano 0:1 ✺
    09.02.2026 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    01.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central 1:1 ✺
    25.02.2026 Barracas Central - Tigre 2:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Platense - Barracas Central 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Rosario Central - Barracas Central 2:0 ✺
    09.02.2026 Barracas Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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