Independiente Rivadavia vs Barracas Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:2
11/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.290.54
Ball possession
73%27%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
113
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
61
Passes
87% (444/512)61% (124/203)
Yellow cards
63
Expected goals (xG)
1.290.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.520.84
Total shots
228
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
145
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
278
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
119
Passes
87% (444/512)61% (124/203)
Long passes
62% (41/66)30% (20/67)
Passes in final third
74% (116/156)37% (25/67)
Crosses
19% (6/32)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.37
Throw ins
1514
Fouls
911
Tackles
78% (7/9)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
1140
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
110
xGOT faced
0.842.52
Goals prevented
-1.161.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Morales G. ⚽, Demartini N. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Candia J. ⚽, Porra T. (A),
  • 45+3', Mino M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Villalba I. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Elordi J. M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Capraro N. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba I. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
  • 57', Rios G. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
  • 57', Osella A. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
  • 71', Fernandez M. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
  • 71', Elordi J. M. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
  • 76', Morales G. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
  • 80', Mino M. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
  • 80', Arce A. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
  • 85', Martinez D. ↓, Jappert K. ↑,
  • 90+4', Candia J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
62.6%		Draw
24.9%		Barracas Central
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 28.1% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 27.5% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.
  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
    •

    Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.52 ↓
    (1.71)    		 3.77 ↑
    (3.3)    		 7.32 ↑
    (5.2)    		 6%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Independiente R is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Jappert K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central were as follows:
    20.07.2025 Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia 0:3
    28.01.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 0:0
    07.10.2024 Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1
    29.02.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central 1:3
    Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
    02.03.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate 1:1 ✺
    26.02.2026 Racing - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 3:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano 0:1 ✺
    09.02.2026 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    01.03.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central 1:1 ✺
    25.02.2026 Barracas Central - Tigre 2:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Platense - Barracas Central 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Rosario Central - Barracas Central 2:0 ✺
    09.02.2026 Barracas Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano ✔ 1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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