Result
1:1
25/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (383/436) | 84% (315/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (383/436) | 84% (315/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (23/36) | 38% (15/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (69/91) | 80% (87/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Cardona E. (Pen),
- 23', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 31', Castro J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Uribe M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 46', Morelos A. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 46', Murillo E. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Mosquera H. (Pen),
- 61', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 65', Torres D. 🟨,
- 68', Sarmiento A. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 71', Perlaza E. ↓, Velasquez Y. ↑,
- 80', Cardona E. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
- 81', Torres J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 82', Moreno V. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
- 87', Hinestroza M. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 90', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4r68yv6n
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
67.7% | Draw
20.1% | Independiente Santa Fe
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.45) |
4.64 ↑
(4.23) |
7.67 ↑
(6.72) |
5.4%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
- Atlético Nacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santa Fe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Atlético Nacional has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
12.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
08.06.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
12.02.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Nacional
2:2
08.12.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Nacional
0:3
20.11.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Santa Fe
5:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
