Result
1:0
19/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Bismark S. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 0.88 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
83% (279/335) | 83% (269/325) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.28 | 0.88 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.87 | 0.16 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
83% (279/335) | 83% (269/325) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (38/67) | 49% (25/51) |
Passes in final third |
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71% (60/85) | 70% (57/81) |
Crosses |
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23% (6/26) | 40% (6/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.09 | 0.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
93% (14/15) | 85% (11/13) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.16 | 0.87 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.16 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
- 14', Meli M. 🟨,
- 26', Cuervo S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Meli M. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 61', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
- 75', Rodriguez A. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 75', Velasquez Y. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
- 77', Hurtado W. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
- 77', Londono S. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
- 83', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 84', Palacio J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 84', Berrio F. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
- 88', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 88', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Mosquera H. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mtymc7eu
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe 63.9% | Draw 23.5% | Envigado 12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↑ (1.41) |
4.08 ↑ (3.9) |
7.87 ↑ (7.5) |
4.7% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Envigado will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Envigado (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4.
- Santa Fe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Envigado is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Santa Fe is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:15. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 2.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Envigado?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Envigado has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Envigado were as follows:
28.02.2025
Envigado
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:7
20.07.2024
Envigado
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
27.01.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Envigado
3:1
23.08.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Envigado
2:0
04.03.2023
Envigado
-
Independiente Santa Fe
3:2
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Envigado
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )