Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/05/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
45.8%
Draw
29.6%
Independiente Santa Fe
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 29.3% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 28.3% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia La Plata's performance.
  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia La Plata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.62)
    3.15
    (3.15)
    3.79
    (2.62)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Gimnasia La Plata is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Santa Fe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santa Fe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    18.04.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins11002:023
    2Sao Paulo11001:013
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City11001:013
    2Palestino10100:001
    3Dep. Riestra10100:001
    4Gremio10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2Vasco10100:001
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4A. Italiano10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)