Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
1:0
23/05/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
45.8%
Draw
29.6%
Independiente Santa Fe
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 29.3% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 28.3% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia La Plata's performance.
  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia La Plata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.62)
    3.15
    (3.15)
    3.79
    (2.62)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Gimnasia La Plata is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Santa Fe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santa Fe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    18.04.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2