Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (228/292) | 75% (201/267) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (228/292) | 75% (201/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 33% (15/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (63/102) | 60% (53/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Arias J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Valencia S. ⚽, Silva D. (A),
- 64', Palacios L. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
- 64', Torres J. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 65', Llinas A. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 72', Sarabia C. ↓, Samuel M. ↑,
- 73', Fernandez O. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 75', Silva D. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽, Fagundez F. (A),
- 79', Contreras R. 🟥,
- 80', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 81', Silva D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
- 81', Castro L. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
- 89', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 90', Samuel M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Urena R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millonarios
48.6% | Draw
27.2% | Independiente Santa Fe
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.89) |
3.42 ↓
(3.47) |
3.83 ↓
(3.93) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Millonarios has won 10 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Millonarios?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 4 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
25.10.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Millonarios
0:1
06.09.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:0
19.06.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
01.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Millonarios
0:1
26.03.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:0
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
