Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/05/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
45.8%
Draw
29.6%
Independiente Santa Fe
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 29.3% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 28.3% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia La Plata's performance.
  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia La Plata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.62)
    3.15
    (3.15)
    3.79
    (2.62)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Gimnasia La Plata is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Santa Fe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santa Fe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    18.04.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Macara32104:137
    2Tigre31113:214
    3America De Cali31113:4-14
    4Alianza Atl30122:5-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano32104:137
    2Juventud31116:334
    3Puerto Cabello31022:7-53
    4Atletico-MG31023:4-13


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo32103:037
    2O'Higgins32014:226
    3Millonarios31111:2-14
    4Boston River30030:4-40


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Lorenzo31204:225
    2Dep. Cuenca31111:2-14
    3Recoleta30302:203
    4Santos30212:3-12


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo RJ32107:347
    2Caracas31203:215
    3Racing Club31116:514
    4Independiente30031:7-60


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City32014:226
    2Gremio31111:104
    3Dep. Riestra31112:204
    4Palestino30210:2-22


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vasco31114:224
    2A. Italiano31113:4-14
    3Olimpia Asuncion31112:3-14
    4Barracas Central30301:103


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32103:127
    2Carabobo32013:126
    3Bragantino31023:4-13
    4Blooming30123:6-31

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)