Independiente vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
09/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceAction 24
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.06
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
23
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
125
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Long passes
27% (14/51)49% (38/77)
Passes in final third
57% (46/81)69% (64/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.27
Throw-ins
3727
Fouls
1514
Tackles
90% (18/20)60% (18/30)
Duels won
5668
Clearances
1120
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.060.77
Goals prevented
0.06-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Galarza M. 🟨,
  • 23', Zabala F. 🟨,
  • 26', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 43', Pezzella G. , Boselli S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Perez E. , Giuliano Galoppo ,
  • 46', Lencina S. , Quintero J. ,
  • 62', Loyola F. 🟨,
  • 66', Mazzantti W. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 75', Cabral L. , Galdames P. ,
  • 75', Abaldo M. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 77', Galarza M. , Meza J. ,
  • 78', Rivero L. 🟨,
  • 80', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 88', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 88', Colidio F. , Martinez P. ,
  • 90+9', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
31.4%
Draw
31.6%
River Plate
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 29.7% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Independiente - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.74)
    2.98
    (3.16)
    2.55
    (2.61)
    6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - River Plate?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - River Plate (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - River Plate (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: River Plate will win (62 of 76 users predict this - 81.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.86%90.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 36 - 83.7%). Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0.
    • Independiente is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • River Plate is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Meza M. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Salas M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - River Plate were as follows:
    08.02.2025 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    01.09.2024 Independiente - River Plate 0:0
    09.03.2024 Independiente - River Plate 1:1
    25.10.2023 River Plate - Independiente 3:0
    23.04.2023 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)