Independiente vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - River Plate
09/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Independiente
31.5%
Draw
30.4%
River Plate
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 29.7% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Independiente - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.74)
    3.09
    (3.16)
    2.51
    (2.61)
    5.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: River Plate will win (23 of 23 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0.
    • Independiente is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • River Plate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - River Plate were as follows:
    08.02.2025 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    01.09.2024 Independiente - River Plate 0:0
    09.03.2024 Independiente - River Plate 1:1
    25.10.2023 River Plate - Independiente 3:0
    23.04.2023 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P32013:216
    2Barracas Central32014:406
    3Central Cordoba31203:215
    4Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    5Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    6Belgrano31113:124
    7Defensa y Justicia31113:214
    8Newells Old Boys31113:304
    9Tigre31113:304
    10Banfield31113:4-14
    11Racing Club31021:2-13
    12Huracan31022:5-33
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Boca Juniors30211:2-12
    15Aldosivi30210:2-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32107:167
    2Dep. Riestra32014:316
    3Rosario Central31202:115
    4Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    5San Lorenzo31202:115
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba31113:304
    8Atl. Tucuman31113:304
    9Gimnasia L.P31111:104
    10Instituto31111:4-34
    11Lanus31022:203
    12Godoy Cruz30301:103
    13Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    14Platense30211:3-22
    15Independiente30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)