Independiente vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
09/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceAction 24
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.06
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
23
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
125
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Long passes
27% (14/51)49% (38/77)
Passes in final third
57% (46/81)69% (64/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.27
Throw-ins
3727
Fouls
1514
Tackles
90% (18/20)60% (18/30)
Duels won
5668
Clearances
1120
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.060.77
Goals prevented
0.06-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Galarza M. 🟨,
  • 23', Zabala F. 🟨,
  • 26', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 43', Pezzella G. , Boselli S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Perez E. , Giuliano Galoppo ,
  • 46', Lencina S. , Quintero J. ,
  • 62', Loyola F. 🟨,
  • 66', Mazzantti W. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 75', Cabral L. , Galdames P. ,
  • 75', Abaldo M. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 77', Galarza M. , Meza J. ,
  • 78', Rivero L. 🟨,
  • 80', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 88', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 88', Colidio F. , Martinez P. ,
  • 90+9', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
31.4%
Draw
31.6%
River Plate
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 29.7% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Independiente - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.74)
    2.98
    (3.16)
    2.55
    (2.61)
    6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - River Plate?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - River Plate (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - River Plate (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: River Plate will win (62 of 76 users predict this - 81.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.86%90.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 36 - 83.7%). Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0.
    • Independiente is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • River Plate is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Meza M. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Salas M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - River Plate were as follows:
    08.02.2025 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    01.09.2024 Independiente - River Plate 0:0
    09.03.2024 Independiente - River Plate 1:1
    25.10.2023 River Plate - Independiente 3:0
    23.04.2023 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1064012:5722
    2Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    3Union de Santa Fe1044216:10616
    4Defensa y Justicia1037013:8516
    5Lanus943215:12315
    6Talleres Cordoba1043310:9115
    7Boca Juniors1035211:7414
    8Independiente1035216:13314
    9Platense103526:6014
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1032511:13-211
    13Gimnasia Mendoza102356:12-69
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys100376:22-163


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1062216:12420
    2Belgrano1054111:7419
    3Rosario Central1053212:7518
    4Tigre1045116:9717
    5River Plate1052312:9317
    6Racing Club1043313:9415
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Gimnasia L.P1042413:14-114
    9Huracan103439:9013
    10Argentinos Jrs82515:4111
    11Banfield1031611:13-210
    12Sarmiento Junin103166:11-510
    13Atl. Tucuman1013611:16-56
    14Aldosivi90543:9-65
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto101183:15-124

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)