Sarmiento de Junín vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
13/07/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.88
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1735
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Long passes
37% (19/51)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
53% (32/60)69% (84/121)
Crosses
36% (5/14)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.672.01
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
1910
Tackles
56% (9/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4158
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.881.02
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 27', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 31', Avalos G. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Ardaiz J. , Gimenez E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Avalos G. , Godoy L. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Gimenez E. , Ardaiz J. (A),
  • 56', Vera F. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 65', Ardaiz J. , Frias F. ,
  • 65', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez S. , Morales I. ,
  • 65', Morales I. 🟨,
  • 72', Marcone I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 77', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 80', Mazzantti W. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 80', Godoy L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Loyola F. , Mancuello F. (A),
  • 84', Roncaglia F. , Seyral A. ,
  • 87', Villalba C. , Gomez J. ,
  • 90+2', Gomez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
22%
Draw
30.5%
Independiente
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 31.4% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (3.57)
    3.11
    (3.02)
    2.01
    (2.25)
    5.8%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Independiente will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 56%94%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Sarmiento (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Independiente (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Independiente (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Independiente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Tarzia D. (Yellow Cards) Vera F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Borasi B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    31.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 0:0
    09.06.2023 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:0
    12.09.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)