Independiente vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
0:0
09/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceAction 24
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.06
Total shots
55
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
23
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
125
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
70% (233/331)73% (321/438)
Long passes
27% (14/51)49% (38/77)
Passes in final third
57% (46/81)69% (64/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.27
Throw-ins
3727
Fouls
1514
Tackles
90% (18/20)60% (18/30)
Duels won
5668
Clearances
1120
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.060.77
Goals prevented
0.06-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Galarza M. 🟨,
  • 23', Zabala F. 🟨,
  • 26', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 43', Pezzella G. ↓, Boselli S. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Perez E. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
  • 46', Lencina S. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
  • 62', Loyola F. 🟨,
  • 66', Mazzantti W. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
  • 75', Cabral L. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
  • 75', Abaldo M. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
  • 77', Galarza M. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
  • 78', Rivero L. 🟨,
  • 80', Vera F. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
  • 88', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 88', Colidio F. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
  • 90+9', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
31.4%		Draw
31.6%		River Plate
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 29.7% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
    •

    Independiente - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.01 ↑
    (2.74)    		 2.98 ↓
    (3.16)    		 2.55 ↓
    (2.61)    		 6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - River Plate?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - River Plate (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - River Plate (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: River Plate will win (62 of 76 users predict this - 81.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.86% – 90.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): River Plate will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 43 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 36 - 83.7%). Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0.
    • Independiente is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • River Plate is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Meza M. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Salas M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - River Plate were as follows:
    08.02.2025 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    01.09.2024 Independiente - River Plate 0:0
    09.03.2024 Independiente - River Plate 1:1
    25.10.2023 River Plate - Independiente 3:0
    23.04.2023 River Plate - Independiente 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    01.08.2025 Belgrano - Independiente 2:0 ✺
    27.07.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:0 ✺
    20.07.2025 Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba 1:2 ✺
    13.07.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 2:2 ✺
    29.06.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of River Plate
    02.08.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - River Plate 0:3 ✺
    27.07.2025 River Plate - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    19.07.2025 Instituto Córdoba - River Plate 0:4 ✺
    13.07.2025 River Plate - Platense 3:1 ✺
    25.06.2025 Inter Milan - River Plate 2:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    2Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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