Independiente vs San Martín de San Juan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - San Martín de San Juan
Result
2:0
13/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.39
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
82% (373/456)59% (122/207)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.02
Total shots
157
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3010
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
198
Passes
82% (373/456)59% (122/207)
Long passes
68% (49/72)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)46% (27/59)
Crosses
20% (5/25)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.30
Fouls
819
Tackles
69% (9/13)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4839
Clearances Total
831
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.020.93
Goals prevented
0.02-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Portillo A. 🟨,
  • 34', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 37', Toloza F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Toloza F. , Anselmo F. ,
  • 60', Millan L. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 60', Tarzia D. , Montiel S. ,
  • 66', Gonzalez D. , Olguin G. ,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Avalos G. , Galdames P. (A),
  • 73', Cabral L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 73', Marcone I. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 80', Watson N. , Tijanovich H. ,
  • 80', Portillo A. , Menendez J. ,
  • 80', Iacobellis M. , Pelaitay N. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Avalos G. , Galdames P. (A),
  • 87', Avalos G. , Gimenez M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
63.7%
Draw
24%
San Martín de San Juan
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 23.7% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 22.8% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for San Martín de San Juan aligns with the current prediction.
  • Independiente - San Martín de San Juan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.49)
    3.92
    (3.99)
    7.58
    (7.33)
    5.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - San Martín de San Juan?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 79.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Independiente (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2.
    • Independiente is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • San Martín is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Independiente is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Freire N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Martín: Casa M. (Injury) Cavallaro J. (Injury) Fernandez T. (Injury) Recalde L. (Inactive) Watson N. (Inactive)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Independiente won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 1.4:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Defensa y Justicia1043311:9215
    3Barracas Central943211:9215
    4Tigre104339:7215
    5Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    6Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    7Argentinos Jrs1042412:8414
    8Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    9Banfield104249:13-414
    10Belgrano93339:7212
    11Huracan93335:8-312
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi100371:14-133


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4San Lorenzo104428:6216
    5Lanus95139:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    8Sarmiento Junin93338:10-212
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    12Gimnasia L.P103166:12-610
    13Instituto92435:11-610
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente80445:9-44

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