San Martín de San Juan vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional San Martín de San Juan - Independiente
Result
1:0
19/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.28
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
55% (94/172)79% (275/349)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.60
Total shots
69
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
99
Passes
55% (94/172)79% (275/349)
Long passes
31% (19/62)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
44% (31/70)68% (79/116)
Crosses
43% (6/14)8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.80
Throw-ins
1528
Fouls
99
Tackles
33% (5/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3942
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.601.53
Goals prevented
0.600.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Galdames P. (Pen),
  • 15', Valenzuela M. , Zabala F. ,
  • 37', Pussetto I. 🟨,
  • 43', Recalde L. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 45+1', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodrigo Fernandez , Marcone I. ,
  • 46', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 47', Mazzantti W. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Fernandez T. , Cavallaro J. (A),
  • 62', Fernandez T. 🟨,
  • 70', Pussetto I. , Avalos G. ,
  • 71', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 77', Galdames P. , Millan L. ,
  • 78', Fernandez T. , Salle S. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez D. , Jaurena S. ,
  • 90+1', Tijanovich H. , Caseres R. ,

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
28.1%
Draw
33.6%
Independiente
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 33.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 32.3% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Independiente aligns with the current prediction.
  • San Martín de San Juan - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.45)
    2.82
    (2.79)
    2.48
    (2.35)
    5.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0.
    • In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independiente is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Freire N. (Hamstring Injury) Loyola F. (International duty) Montiel S. (Red Card)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Independiente were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Independiente - San Martín de San Juan 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2
    05.10.2025 Godoy Cruz - Independiente 1:1
    28.09.2025 Racing - Independiente 0:0
    13.09.2025 Independiente - Banfield 0:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    2Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    3Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    4Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    5Belgrano1346313:10318
    6Racing Club1353514:13118
    7Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    8Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    9Barracas Central1145213:11217
    10Tigre1245311:9217
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan124446:10-416
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus1382315:9626
    2Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    3Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    4Rosario Central1266014:6824
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    7San Lorenzo124449:9016
    8Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    9Sarmiento Junin124359:13-415
    10Instituto123637:11-415
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1225511:17-611
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente120666:13-76

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)