San Martín de San Juan vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
19/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.28
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
55% (94/172)79% (275/349)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.60
Total shots
69
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
99
Passes
55% (94/172)79% (275/349)
Long passes
31% (19/62)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
44% (31/70)68% (79/116)
Crosses
43% (6/14)8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.80
Throw-ins
1528
Fouls
99
Tackles
33% (5/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3942
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.601.53
Goals prevented
0.600.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Galdames P. (Pen),
  • 15', Valenzuela M. , Zabala F. ,
  • 37', Pussetto I. 🟨,
  • 43', Recalde L. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 45+1', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodrigo Fernandez , Marcone I. ,
  • 46', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 47', Mazzantti W. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Fernandez T. , Cavallaro J. (A),
  • 62', Fernandez T. 🟨,
  • 70', Pussetto I. , Avalos G. ,
  • 71', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 77', Galdames P. , Millan L. ,
  • 78', Fernandez T. , Salle S. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez D. , Jaurena S. ,
  • 90+1', Tijanovich H. , Caseres R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
28.1%
Draw
33.6%
Independiente
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 33.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 32.3% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Independiente aligns with the current prediction.
  • San Martín de San Juan - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.45)
    2.82
    (2.79)
    2.48
    (2.35)
    5.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0.
    • In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independiente is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Freire N. (Hamstring Injury) Loyola F. (International duty) Montiel S. (Red Card)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Independiente were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Independiente - San Martín de San Juan 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2
    05.10.2025 Godoy Cruz - Independiente 1:1
    28.09.2025 Racing - Independiente 0:0
    13.09.2025 Independiente - Banfield 0:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)