San Martín de San Juan vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
19/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.28
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
55% (94/172)79% (275/349)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.60
Total shots
69
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
99
Passes
55% (94/172)79% (275/349)
Long passes
31% (19/62)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
44% (31/70)68% (79/116)
Crosses
43% (6/14)8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.80
Throw-ins
1528
Fouls
99
Tackles
33% (5/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3942
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.601.53
Goals prevented
0.600.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Galdames P. (Pen),
  • 15', Valenzuela M. , Zabala F. ,
  • 37', Pussetto I. 🟨,
  • 43', Recalde L. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 45+1', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodrigo Fernandez , Marcone I. ,
  • 46', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 47', Mazzantti W. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Fernandez T. , Cavallaro J. (A),
  • 62', Fernandez T. 🟨,
  • 70', Pussetto I. , Avalos G. ,
  • 71', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 77', Galdames P. , Millan L. ,
  • 78', Fernandez T. , Salle S. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez D. , Jaurena S. ,
  • 90+1', Tijanovich H. , Caseres R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
28.1%
Draw
33.6%
Independiente
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 33.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 32.3% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Independiente aligns with the current prediction.
  • San Martín de San Juan - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.45)
    2.82
    (2.79)
    2.48
    (2.35)
    5.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0.
    • In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independiente is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Freire N. (Hamstring Injury) Loyola F. (International duty) Montiel S. (Red Card)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Independiente were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Independiente - San Martín de San Juan 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2
    05.10.2025 Godoy Cruz - Independiente 1:1
    28.09.2025 Racing - Independiente 0:0
    13.09.2025 Independiente - Banfield 0:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)