San Martín de San Juan vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
19/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.28
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
55% (94/172)79% (275/349)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.60
Total shots
69
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
99
Passes
55% (94/172)79% (275/349)
Long passes
31% (19/62)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
44% (31/70)68% (79/116)
Crosses
43% (6/14)8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.80
Throw-ins
1528
Fouls
99
Tackles
33% (5/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3942
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.601.53
Goals prevented
0.600.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Galdames P. (Pen),
  • 15', Valenzuela M. , Zabala F. ,
  • 37', Pussetto I. 🟨,
  • 43', Recalde L. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 45+1', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodrigo Fernandez , Marcone I. ,
  • 46', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 47', Mazzantti W. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Fernandez T. , Cavallaro J. (A),
  • 62', Fernandez T. 🟨,
  • 70', Pussetto I. , Avalos G. ,
  • 71', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 77', Galdames P. , Millan L. ,
  • 78', Fernandez T. , Salle S. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez D. , Jaurena S. ,
  • 90+1', Tijanovich H. , Caseres R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
28.1%
Draw
33.6%
Independiente
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 33.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 32.3% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Independiente aligns with the current prediction.
  • San Martín de San Juan - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.45)
    2.82
    (2.79)
    2.48
    (2.35)
    5.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0.
    • In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independiente is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Freire N. (Hamstring Injury) Loyola F. (International duty) Montiel S. (Red Card)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Independiente were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Independiente - San Martín de San Juan 2:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2
    05.10.2025 Godoy Cruz - Independiente 1:1
    28.09.2025 Racing - Independiente 0:0
    13.09.2025 Independiente - Banfield 0:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)