Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever
Result
85:79
02/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6675
Field Goals Made
3032
Field Goals %
45.5%42.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4550
2-Point Field Goals Made
2423
2-Point Field Goals %
53.3%46%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2125
3-Point Field Goals Made
69
3-Point Field Goals %
28.6%36%
Free Throws Attempted
238
Free Throws Made
196
Free Throws %
82.6%75%
Offensive Rebounds
612
Defensive Rebounds
3028
Total Rebounds
3640
Assists
2425
Blocks
33
Turnovers
1012
Steals
65
Personal Fouls
1215

Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
71%
Indiana Fever
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Indiana Fever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Fever than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.31)

    3.34
    (3.26)
    4.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 166.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 1.
    • Phoenix is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Indiana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Phoenix is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Phoenix will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1784:1623. (average 89.2:81.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 892:750. (average 89.2:75).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever 95:60
    30.07.2025 Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury 107:101
    16.08.2024 Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury 98:89
    12.07.2024 Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury 95:86
    30.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever 82:88
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of Indiana Fever
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Golden State Valkyries W (8)2 : 0
    2Phoenix Mercury W (4)New York Liberty W (5)2 : 1
    3Las Vegas Aces W (2)Seattle Storm W (7)2 : 1
    4Atlanta Dream W (3)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Phoenix Mercury W (4)1 : 1
    2Las Vegas Aces W (2)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 1