Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury
Result
107:101
30/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6273
Field Goals Made
3236
Field Goals %
51.6%49.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3852
2-Point Field Goals Made
2129
2-Point Field Goals %
55.3%55.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2421
3-Point Field Goals Made
117
3-Point Field Goals %
45.8%33.3%
Free Throws Attempted
3826
Free Throws Made
3222
Free Throws %
84.2%84.6%
Offensive Rebounds
66
Defensive Rebounds
2725
Total Rebounds
3331
Assists
1918
Blocks
21
Turnovers
1617
Steals
89
Personal Fouls
2628

Chances of winning


Indiana Fever
39.1%
Phoenix Mercury
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 54.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indiana Fever has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indiana Fever's form might have worsened.
  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Mercury's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Fever than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indiana Fever, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Mercury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.04)

    1.56
    (1.72)
    5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indiana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Indiana Fever will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:84.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 5.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Indiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Phoenix could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Indiana will win today's game, with odds of 2.48.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1612:1783. (average 80.6:89.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 848:892. (average 84.8:89.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury 98:89
    12.07.2024 Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury 95:86
    30.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever 82:88
    20.08.2023 Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever 73:83
    01.08.2023 Indiana Fever - Phoenix Mercury 72:71
    Latest results of Indiana Fever
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    3Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    4Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    5Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    6Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    7Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    2Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    3Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    4Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    5Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    6Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    3Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    4Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    5Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    6Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    7Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    8Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    9Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    10Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    11Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276
    12Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    13Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192

          Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )