Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
29/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 16
  • Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
98
Corner Kicks
104
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
104
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1620
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
1513

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Lassig V. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Costly M. , Carlsen F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Hor Y. , Amaimouni A. (A),
  • 55', Lassig V. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Costly M. ,
  • 65', Mokwa Ntusu D. , Labes B. O. ,
  • 66', Kugel J. , Drakulic O. ,
  • 66', Hoppe M. , Sturm Y. ,
  • 74', Hennrich P. , Dagdeviren D. ,
  • 76', 3 - 2, Carlsen F. , Sturm Y. (A),
  • 79', Erlein L. 🟨,
  • 83', Reisig R. , Honajzer A. ,
  • 83', Erlein L. , Strobl L. ,
  • 83', Zeitler D. , Fields J. ,
  • 90+2', Besuschkow M. , Frode L. ,

Chances of winning


Ingolstadt
34.9%
Draw
24.9%
Hoffenheim II
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 25.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 24.9% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Hoffenheim II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Ingolstadt - Hoffenheim II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.51)
    3.72
    (3.67)
    2.31
    (2.46)
    7.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Ingolstadt - Hoffenheim II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Hoffenheim II (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim II (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6).
    • Recent performances by Ingolstadt have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hoffenheim II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ingolstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    Latest results of Hoffenheim II
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck33207655:272867
    2RW Essen331810569:511864
    3Cottbus33179761:451660
    4Duisburg33179759:431660
    5Hansa Rostock331611662:372559
    6Verl331510872:452755
    7Alemannia Aachen331561260:53751
    8Munich 1860331491049:45451
    9Wehen331461344:42248
    10Viktoria Koln331451448:45347
    11Mannheim331451452:60-847
    12Regensburg331271446:50-443
    13Stuttgart II331261541:54-1342
    14Ingolstadt3310101352:48440
    15Hoffenheim II331171560:59140
    16Saarbrucken338131242:49-737
    17TSV Havelse33781849:73-2429
    18Ulm33852042:68-2629
    19Aue335101838:61-2325
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 33532531:77-4618

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to