Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/437) | 73% (200/274) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/437) | 73% (200/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (39/65) | 42% (30/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (97/146) | 41% (22/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Caballero J. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
- 61', Martinez M. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
- 61', Fernandez W. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Sanguinetti F. ⚽, Moncada D. (A),
- 68', Moncada D. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
- 73', Cantillo F. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
- 73', Banguero E. ↓, Rosales Y. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Poveda I. ⚽, Sanguinetti F. (A),
- 84', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
- 85', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 87', Castillo J. ↓, Valencia L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Inter Bogotá 56% | Draw 27.1% | Alianza Valledupar 16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Bogotá's performance.Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Inter Bogotá - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.89) |
3.45 ↑ (3.1) |
5.51 ↑ (4.3) |
7.1% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Inter Bogotá - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
Inter Bogotá will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Inter Bogotá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Alianza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Inter Bogotá is a strong favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Bogotá won against Alianza Valledupar?
Inter Bogotá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Inter Bogotá?
Alianza Valledupar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Bogotá - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
Latest results of Inter Bogotá
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali ✔ | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas ✔ | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )