Result
0:0
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (331/430) | 81% (345/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (331/430) | 81% (345/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/74) | 43% (23/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (60/98) | 64% (71/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Clearances |
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| 15 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Moncada D. 🟨,
- 34', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Charrupi G. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 63', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 67', Moncada D. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
- 67', Bone F. ↓, Caballero J. ↑,
- 81', Salazar J. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 81', Charrupi F. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
- 81', Alba I. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
- 83', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 83', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. ↓, Suarez K. ↑,
- 90+4', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Garcia Y. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mr46mrfw
Chances of winning
Inter Bogotá
36.6% | Draw
32.1% | Atlético Bucaramanga
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Bogotá's performance.Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Bogotá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Inter Bogotá - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(3.05) |
2.91 ↑
(2.75) |
2.99 ↑
(2.65) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Inter Bogotá - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Inter Bogotá will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Inter Bogotá (2.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Bogotá (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Inter Bogotá is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bucaramanga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Bogotá won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Inter Bogotá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Inter Bogotá?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Bogotá - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
Latest results of Inter Bogotá
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
