Inter Miami vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Inter Miami - Palmeiras
Result
2:2
23/06/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanAriana
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franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
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portugalPortugalDAZN 1
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usaUsaDAZN USA, TBS, truTV
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venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
vietnamVietnamDAZN, FPT Play
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
07
Passes
86% (454/525)88% (367/418)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.701.48
Total shots
822
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
316
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
07
Touches in opposition box
1149
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
97
Passes
86% (454/525)88% (367/418)
Long passes
55% (24/44)70% (30/43)
Passes in final third
79% (54/68)80% (137/171)
Crosses
25% (1/4)33% (12/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.96
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
79
Tackles
75% (9/12)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4548
Clearances
354
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.481.70
Goals prevented
-0.52-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Allende T. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
  • 18', Murilo ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
  • 45+1', Messi L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Raphael Veiga ↓, Mauricio ↑,
  • 55', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽,
  • 66', Segovia T. ↓, Alba J. ↑,
  • 67', Marcos Rocha ↓, Allan ↑,
  • 67', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
  • 74', Suarez L. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
  • 77', Redondo Solari F. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
  • 77', Allende T. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Paulinho ⚽, Allan (A),
  • 87', 2 - 2, Mauricio ⚽,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
19.2%		Draw
36.1%		Palmeiras
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.9% 22.1% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3% 24.6% 68.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+24.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Inter Miami - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.01 ↓
    (6.13)    		 2.64 ↓
    (4.4)    		 2.18 ↑
    (1.57)    		 3.7%
    (2.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Palmeiras?
  • Users Predictions: 96 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 9 - 9.4%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 15 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 72 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 66.3% – 83.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Tie (votes: 21 - 80.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Inter Miami (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • DC - Inter Miami (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Palmeiras has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Figueiredo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Fray I. (Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Weigandt M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Palmeiras: Moreno A. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    19.06.2025 Inter Miami - Porto 2:1 ✺
    14.06.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Inter Miami 0:0 ✺
    31.05.2025 Inter Miami - Columbus Crew 5:1 ✺
    28.05.2025 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 4:2 ✺
    24.05.2025 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    19.06.2025 Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo 2:0 ✺
    15.06.2025 Palmeiras - Porto 0:0 ✺
    01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1 ✺
    28.05.2025 Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal 6:0 ✺
    25.05.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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