Toronto FC vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 4
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
surinameSurinameSCCN
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.48
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
87% (306/353)88% (512/582)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.963.33
Total shots
79
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1928
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
129
Passes
87% (306/353)88% (512/582)
Long passes
46% (16/35)60% (28/47)
Passes in final third
78% (71/91)67% (98/147)
Crosses
23% (3/13)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.60
Throw-ins
418
Fouls
912
Tackles
60% (6/10)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3437
Clearances
2611
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.330.96
Goals prevented
2.33-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Allende T. , Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 1 - 1, Mihailovic D. , Laryea R. (A), Osorio J. (A2)
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 68', Etienne D. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 71', Fray I. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 71', Busquets S. , Bright Y. ,
  • 78', Corbeanu T. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 80', Mihailovic D. 🟨,
  • 82', Petretta R. 🟨,
  • 90', Mihailovic D. , Franklin K. ,
  • 90', Cifuentes J. , Henry M. ,

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
21.5%
Draw
22%
Inter Miami
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 23.6% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 23.2% 48.1%

Toronto FC - Inter Miami Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.46
(3.23)
4.32
(3.98)
1.72
(1.99)
3.8%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Inter Miami?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Inter Miami (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Half - Inter Miami (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Inter Miami (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Inter Miami (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kerr D. (Lower-Body Injury) Long K. (Lower-Body Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A. (Hamstring Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Alba J. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Inter Miami were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 1:1
    05.10.2024 Toronto FC - Inter Miami 0:1
    08.08.2024 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 4:3
    17.07.2024 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 3:1
    20.09.2023 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 4:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)