Toronto FC vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Toronto FC - Inter Miami
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 4
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
surinameSurinameSCCN
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.48
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
87% (306/353)88% (512/582)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.963.33
Total shots
79
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1928
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
129
Passes
87% (306/353)88% (512/582)
Long passes
46% (16/35)60% (28/47)
Passes in final third
78% (71/91)67% (98/147)
Crosses
23% (3/13)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.60
Throw-ins
418
Fouls
912
Tackles
60% (6/10)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3437
Clearances
2611
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.330.96
Goals prevented
2.33-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Allende T. , Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 1 - 1, Mihailovic D. , Laryea R. (A), Osorio J. (A2)
  • 63', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 68', Etienne D. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 71', Fray I. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 71', Busquets S. , Bright Y. ,
  • 78', Corbeanu T. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 80', Mihailovic D. 🟨,
  • 82', Petretta R. 🟨,
  • 90', Mihailovic D. , Franklin K. ,
  • 90', Cifuentes J. , Henry M. ,

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
21.5%
Draw
22%
Inter Miami
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 23.6% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 23.2% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Miami's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Miami, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto FC - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.46
    (3.23)
    4.32
    (3.98)
    1.72
    (1.99)
    3.8%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kerr D. (Lower-Body Injury) Long K. (Lower-Body Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A. (Hamstring Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Alba J. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Inter Miami were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 1:1
    05.10.2024 Toronto FC - Inter Miami 0:1
    08.08.2024 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 4:3
    17.07.2024 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 3:1
    20.09.2023 Inter Miami - Toronto FC 4:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2