Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        27/09/2025 at  16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  MLS
- Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN 4 | 
|  China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 | 
|  Italy | Amazon Prime Video | 
|  Suriname | SCCN | 
|  Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC | 
|  World | EA Sports FC | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.48 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 38% | 62% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 87% (306/353) | 88% (512/582) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.48 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.96 | 3.33 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 19 | 28 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 87% (306/353) | 88% (512/582) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 60% (28/47) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 78% (71/91) | 67% (98/147) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 24% (5/21) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.60 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 4 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 9 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 75% (9/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 34 | 37 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 26 | 11 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 12 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 3.33 | 0.96 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 2.33 | -0.04 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', Suarez L. 🟨, 
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Allende T. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 1, Mihailovic D. ⚽, Laryea R. (A), Osorio J. (A2)
- 63', Rodriguez B. ↓, Segovia T. ↑, 
- 68', Etienne D. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑, 
- 71', Fray I. ↓, Weigandt M. ↑, 
- 71', Busquets S. ↓, Bright Y. ↑, 
- 78', Corbeanu T. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑, 
- 80', Mihailovic D. 🟨, 
- 82', Petretta R. 🟨, 
- 90', Mihailovic D. ↓, Franklin K. ↑, 
- 90', Cifuentes J. ↓, Henry M. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Toronto FC 21.5%
 | Draw 22%
 | Inter Miami 56.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Miami's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Miami, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Toronto FC - Inter Miami Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 4.46 ↑ (3.23)
 | 4.32 ↑ (3.98)
 | 1.72 ↓ (1.99)
 | 3.8% (6.4%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Inter Miami?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Inter Miami will win 
                    (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kerr D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Long K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruiz D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter Miami: Alba J.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Inter Miami?
                    
                    
                        
                            Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against Toronto FC?
                    
                    
                        
                             Inter Miami has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Inter Miami were as follows:
                                                        
                                06.04.2025 
                                Inter Miami 
                                - 
                                Toronto FC 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.10.2024 
                                Toronto FC 
                                - 
                                Inter Miami 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.08.2024 
                                Inter Miami 
                                - 
                                Toronto FC 
                                4:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                17.07.2024 
                                Inter Miami 
                                - 
                                Toronto FC 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.09.2023 
                                Inter Miami 
                                - 
                                Toronto FC 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Toronto FC                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Inter Miami                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye |  | 
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 | 
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye |  | 
| 4 | Bye | New York City |  | 
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye |  | 
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC |  | 
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye |  | 
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew |  | 
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye |  | 
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 | 
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye |  | 
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders |  | 
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye |  | 
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC |  | 
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye |  | 
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas |  | 
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire |  | 
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City |  | 
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 | 
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew |  | 
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers |  | 
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders |  | 
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC |  | 
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas |  | 
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal