Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Inter Milan - Bayern Munich
Result
2:2
16/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport 4, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport PSL
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaESPN
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8, TVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandTVWan Sports 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
turkeyTurkeyTRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 Extra
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.30
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
73% (245/334)86% (468/542)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.342.18
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
39
Shots inside the Box
815
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2049
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
73% (245/334)86% (468/542)
Long passes
33% (17/52)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
65% (53/82)81% (170/210)
Crosses
33% (3/9)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.95
Fouls
1016
Tackles
73% (8/11)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4843
Clearances Total
4326
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.181.34
Goals prevented
0.18-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Kim Min-Jae 🟨,
  • 45+1', Dier E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Goretzka L. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Pavard B. ⚽, Calhanoglu H. (A),
  • 65', Sane L. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
  • 65', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
  • 69', Arnautovic M. 🟨,
  • 73', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Dier E. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
  • 81', Martinez L. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
  • 83', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
  • 83', Laimer K. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
  • 88', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
  • 88', Bastoni A. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/5a5mzbjf

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
36%		Draw
25.7%		Bayern Munich
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.8% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 21.5% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+25.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Inter Milan - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.67 ↑
    (1.62)    		 3.74 ↓
    (4.1)    		 2.51 ↓
    (4.8)    		 4.1%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 24 - 31.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 42 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 43.4% – 65.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 6 - 50%). Bayern (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter won 2.
    • Inter is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Bayern is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive) Dumfries D. (Thigh Injury) Zielinski P. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Inter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2
    01.11.2022 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 2:0
    07.09.2022 Inter Milan - Bayern Munich 0:2
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    12.04.2025 Inter Milan - Cagliari 3:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2 ✺
    02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺
    08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    04.04.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag3 : 2, 1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 1, 0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV0 : 6, 1 : 3
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