Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Inter Milan - Bayern Munich
Result
2:2
16/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport 4, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport PSL
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaESPN
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8, TVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandTVWan Sports 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
turkeyTurkeyTRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 Extra
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.30
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
73% (245/334)86% (468/542)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.342.18
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
39
Shots inside the Box
815
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2049
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
73% (245/334)86% (468/542)
Long passes
33% (17/52)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
65% (53/82)81% (170/210)
Crosses
33% (3/9)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.95
Fouls
1016
Tackles
73% (8/11)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4843
Clearances Total
4326
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.181.34
Goals prevented
0.18-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Kim Min-Jae 🟨,
  • 45+1', Dier E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Goretzka L. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Pavard B. ⚽, Calhanoglu H. (A),
  • 65', Sane L. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
  • 65', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
  • 69', Arnautovic M. 🟨,
  • 73', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Dier E. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
  • 81', Martinez L. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
  • 83', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
  • 83', Laimer K. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
  • 88', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
  • 88', Bastoni A. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/5a5mzbjf

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
36%		Draw
25.7%		Bayern Munich
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.8% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 21.5% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+25.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Inter Milan - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.67 ↑
    (1.62)    		 3.74 ↓
    (4.1)    		 2.51 ↓
    (4.8)    		 4.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 24 - 31.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 42 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 43.4% – 65.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 6 - 50%). Bayern (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter won 2.
    • Inter is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Bayern is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive) Dumfries D. (Thigh Injury) Zielinski P. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Inter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2
    01.11.2022 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 2:0
    07.09.2022 Inter Milan - Bayern Munich 0:2
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    12.04.2025 Inter Milan - Cagliari 3:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2 ✺
    02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺
    08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    04.04.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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