Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan).

Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1, New World Sport 4, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport PSL
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, New World TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Kosovo	RTK 1
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8, TVM Sport+
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	TVWan Sports 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	CANAL+ 360, TVP Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Turkey	TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, VIX App

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.38	1.30
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
15	20
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
73% (245/334)	86% (468/542)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.34	2.18
Total shots
15	20
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
3	9
Shots inside the Box
8	15
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
20	49
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
16	10
Passes
73% (245/334)	86% (468/542)
Long passes
33% (17/52)	49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
65% (53/82)	81% (170/210)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	1.95
Fouls
10	16
Tackles
73% (8/11)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
48	43
Clearances Total
43	26
Interceptions
9	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
2.18	1.34
Goals prevented
0.18	-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Kim Min-Jae 🟨,
45+1', Dier E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Goretzka L. (A),
58', 1 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Pavard B. ⚽, Calhanoglu H. (A),
65', Sane L. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
65', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
69', Arnautovic M. 🟨,
73', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Dier E. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
81', Martinez L. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
83', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
83', Laimer K. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
88', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
88', Bastoni A. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/5a5mzbjf

Chances of winning

Inter Milan
36%

Draw
25.7%

Bayern Munich
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

22.8%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+25.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Inter Milan - Bayern Munich Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (1.62)	3.74 ↓ (4.1)	2.51 ↓ (4.8)	4.1% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Bayern Munich?

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 24 - 31.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 42 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 43.4% – 65.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 6 - 50%). Bayern (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter won 2.
Inter is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Bayern is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bayern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Inter: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive) Dumfries D. (Thigh Injury) Zielinski P. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Inter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Bayern Munich?

Inter Milan has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Inter Milan?

Bayern Munich has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Bayern Munich were as follows:

08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2

01.11.2022 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 2:0

07.09.2022 Inter Milan - Bayern Munich 0:2

Latest results of Inter Milan

12.04.2025 Inter Milan - Cagliari 3:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Bayern Munich

12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	5:1	4	3
2	PSG	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
3	Club Brugge KV	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
4	Sporting CP	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
5	Royale Union SG	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
6	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
8	Inter	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
10	Qarabag	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
11	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
12	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
13	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
14	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
15	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
16	Juventus	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
17	Bayer Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
18	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
19	Slavia Prague	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
20	FC Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
21	Pafos	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
22	Olympiacos Piraeus	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
23	Atl. Madrid	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	Benfica	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
29	PSV	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
30	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Ajax	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
33	Monaco	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Kairat Almaty	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
35	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
36	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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