Result
 
                    1:4
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/04/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie A Women - Championship Group - Round 8
- Referee: Mirabella D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Canada | DAZN Canada | 
|  Italy | DAZN Italia | 
|  New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand | 
|  United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK | 
|  Usa | DAZN USA | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.59 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 52% | 48% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (348/405) | 82% (305/373) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.59 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.47 | 5.55 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 15 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 1 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 20 | 25 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (348/405) | 82% (305/373) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 68% (41/60) | 35% (16/46) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 79% (127/161) | 63% (46/73) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 50% (7/14) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.60 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 23 | 21 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 87% (13/15) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 24 | 39 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 16 | 16 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 12 | 3 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 5.55 | 1.47 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.47 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Milinkovic M. ⚽, 
- 27', 1 - 1, Dompig C. (Pen), 
- 40', Arrigoni G. 🟨, 
- 45', Santi I. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 54', Tomaselli M. ↓, Bugeja H. ↑, 
- 59', 1 - 2, Polli E. ⚽, 
- 63', Arrigoni G. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑, 
- 71', Polli E. ↓, Detruyer M. ↑, 
- 72', Santi I. ↓, Junge-Pedersen S. ↑, 
- 80', Bartoli E. ↓, Robustellini C. ↑, 
- 81', Csiszar H. ↓, Pavan M. ↑, 
- 81', Dompig C. ↓, Karczewska N. ↑, 
- 81', Sorelli N. ↓, Laurent E. ↑, 
- 85', 1 - 3, Wullaert T. ⚽, Detruyer M. (A), 
- 86', Rubio S. ↓, Grimshaw C. ↑, 
- 87', Renzotti M. ↓, Stokic S. ↑, 
- 90+1', 1 - 4, Wullaert T. ⚽, Detruyer M. (A), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Milan 32.6%
 | Draw 25.8%
 | Inter Milan 41.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Milan - Inter Milan Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.82 ↓ (3.07)
 | 3.56 ↑ (3.5)
 | 2.21 ↑ (2.02)
 | 8.8% (10.6%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Inter Milan is Qualified for Champions League Women (Group Stage )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 1. 
- Two teams are playing changeable. 
- Inter Milan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
- Inter Milan will have a poor advantage in this game.
 
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Milan won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:28 (average 2.1:1.6). 
- Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:14 (average 2.1:1.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Inter Milan?
                    
                    
                        
                            Milan has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Milan?
                    
                    
                        
                             Inter Milan has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Inter Milan were as follows:
                                                        
                                16.03.2025 
                                Inter Milan 
                                - 
                                Milan 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.12.2024 
                                Milan 
                                - 
                                Inter Milan 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.09.2024 
                                Inter Milan 
                                - 
                                Milan 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                18.02.2024 
                                Milan 
                                - 
                                Inter Milan 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.11.2023 
                                Inter Milan 
                                - 
                                Milan 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Inter Milan                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | AS Roma W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 9 | 
| 2 | Lazio W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 | 
| 3 | Napoli W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 | 
| 4 | Inter W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 5 | 
| 5 | Fiorentina W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | 
| 6 | Juventus W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 | 
| 7 | Sassuolo W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | 
| 8 | Parma W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 | 
| 9 | AC Milan W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 | 
| 10 | Como W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | 
| 11 | Genoa W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 | 
| 12 | Ternana W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 0 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Women