Result
2:2
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 15
- Referee: Madonia D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, RaiPlay, RAI Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (304/393) | 77% (254/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (304/393) | 77% (254/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (58/87) | 69% (58/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Le Bihan C. ⚽, Visentin N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', D'Auria F. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Kamczyk E. ⚽,
- 60', Kamczyk E. ↓, Dompig C. ↑,
- 60', Visentin N. ↓, Karczewska N. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Soffia A. ⚽, Mascarello M. (A),
- 67', Martin E. ↓, Simonetti F. ↑,
- 67', Monnecchi M. ↓, Cafferata F. ↑,
- 77', Connolly M. ↓, Mesjasz M. ↑,
- 78', Simonetti F. 🟨,
- 81', Mascarello M. ↓, Cernoia V. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Karczewska N. ⚽, Oliviero E. (A),
- 86', Renzotti M. ↓, Kyvag T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lazio
41.3% | Draw
28.4% | Milan
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Lazio - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.45) |
3.23 ↓
(3.42) |
3.04 ↑
(2.65) |
8.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 8).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.4:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Milan?
Lazio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Lazio?
Milan has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Milan were as follows:
01.11.2025
Milan
-
Lazio
4:2
14.12.2024
Lazio
-
Milan
2:0
29.09.2024
Milan
-
Lazio
2:1
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W ✔ | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 39:19 | 20 | 49 |
| 2 | Inter W ✔ | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 12 | 35 |
| 4 | Lazio W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 30 |
| 5 | Napoli W | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | AC Milan W | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | Como W | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 26 |
| 9 | Sassuolo W | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16:30 | -14 | 17 |
| 10 | Parma W | 20 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 16 |
| 11 | Ternana W | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18:38 | -20 | 14 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
Clinched Spots for Teams
AS Roma W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
Inter W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
