Result
2:1
10/03/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 26
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Spezia 11.8% | Draw 19.8% | Inter Milan 68.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Spezia - Inter Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.03 ↑ (7.67) |
4.81 ↑ (4.7) |
1.4 ↓ (1.4) |
4.7% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Spezia - Inter Milan?
Users Predictions:
84 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 11 - 13.1%). Inter will win (votes: 71 - 84.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 2.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 76.8% – 92.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
- Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (24.79%), has project points - 33, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- Inter has the most likely position - 2 (47.91%), has project points - 74, has currently - 50, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (88%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
- This event has quality 60, importance 50, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Spezia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Inter is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Inter is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S.
(Knee Injury)
Holm E.
(Injury)
Marchetti F.
(Red Card)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Reca A.
(Yellow Cards)
Zoet J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Inter: Dalbert
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter: Correa J.
(Thigh Injury)
Skriniar M.
(Back Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Inter Milan?
Spezia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Spezia?
Inter Milan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Inter Milan were as follows:
Latest results of Inter Milan
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75:29 | 46 | 75 |
| 2 | Napoli | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 66 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 63 |
| 4 | Juventus | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 60 |
| 5 | Como | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 56:26 | 30 | 58 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 45:28 | 17 | 57 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 53 |
| 8 | Bologna | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Lazio | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Udinese | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:43 | -4 | 42 |
| 12 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37:54 | -17 | 39 |
| 13 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:45 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Parma | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 23:40 | -17 | 36 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37:44 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:44 | -11 | 33 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 21:45 | -24 | 27 |
| 19 | Verona | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 23:55 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 | Pisa | 32 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 23:58 | -35 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B