Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/07/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie A Betano - Round 15
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping | 
|  China | K-Ball | 
|  Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol | 
|  Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.57 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 46% | 54% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (312/378) | 83% (364/438) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.57 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.24 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 23 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (312/378) | 83% (364/438) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 44% (22/50) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 73% (87/120) | 64% (50/78) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 30% (7/23) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.75 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 30 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 6 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 77% (17/22) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 35 | 57 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 33 | 30 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 10 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.92 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.08 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Alan Patrick ⚽, Borre R. (A), 
- 42', Carbonero J. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Matheus Bahia 🟨, 
- 55', Marllon 🟨, 
- 59', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑, 
- 59', Lucas Lima ↓, Lourenco ↑, 
- 66', Carbonero J. ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑, 
- 66', Bruno Henrique ↓, Luis Otavio ↑, 
- 68', Matheus Araujo ↓, Aylon ↑, 
- 78', Wesley ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑, 
- 78', Borre R. ↓, Valencia E. ↑, 
- 80', Diego ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑, 
- 80', Pedro Henrique ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑, 
- 80', Thiago Maia ↓, Diego Rosa ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Internacional RS 57.8%
 | Draw 25.8%
 | Ceará 16.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional RS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Internacional RS - Ceará Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.64 ↑ (1.52)
 | 3.66 ↓ (3.8)
 | 5.89 ↓ (6.8)
 | 5.5% (6.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Ceará?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            15 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 69.5% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Internacional RS will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ceará has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Internacional is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Fernando
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Lucas Mugni
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Ceará?
                    
                    
                        
                            Internacional RS has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Internacional RS?
                    
                    
                        
                             Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Ceará were as follows:
                                                        
                                26.10.2022 
                                Internacional RS 
                                - 
                                Ceará 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Internacional RS                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 | 
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 | 
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 | 
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 | 
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 | 
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 | 
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 | 
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 | 
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 | 
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 | 
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 | 
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 | 
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 | 
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 | 
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 | 
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 | 
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 | 
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 | 
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 | 
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 | 
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet