Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 15
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/378) | 83% (364/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/378) | 83% (364/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (87/120) | 64% (50/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Alan Patrick ⚽, Borre R. (A),
- 42', Carbonero J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
- 55', Marllon 🟨,
- 59', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 59', Lucas Lima ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 66', Carbonero J. ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 66', Bruno Henrique ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
- 68', Matheus Araujo ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 78', Wesley ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
- 78', Borre R. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 80', Diego ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 80', Pedro Henrique ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
- 80', Thiago Maia ↓, Diego Rosa ↑,
Chances of winning
Internacional RS
57.8% | Draw
25.8% | Ceará
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional RS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3%)
Internacional RS - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.52) |
3.66 ↓
(3.8) |
5.89 ↓
(6.8) |
5.5%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 69.5% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Internacional RS will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ceará has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Internacional is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Fernando
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Lucas Mugni
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Ceará?
Internacional RS has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Internacional RS?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Ceará were as follows:
26.10.2022
Internacional RS
-
Ceará
2:1
Latest results of Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
