Internacional RS vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Internacional RS - Ceará
Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 15
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.57
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
83% (312/378)83% (364/438)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.920.24
Total shots
910
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
614
Passes
83% (312/378)83% (364/438)
Long passes
51% (22/43)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
73% (87/120)64% (50/78)
Crosses
16% (3/19)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.75
Throw-ins
1930
Fouls
146
Tackles
58% (7/12)77% (17/22)
Duels won
3557
Clearances
3330
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.240.92
Goals prevented
0.24-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Alan Patrick , Borre R. (A),
  • 42', Carbonero J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
  • 55', Marllon 🟨,
  • 59', Fabiano , Ramos R. ,
  • 59', Lucas Lima , Lourenco ,
  • 66', Carbonero J. , Bruno Tabata ,
  • 66', Bruno Henrique , Luis Otavio ,
  • 68', Matheus Araujo , Aylon ,
  • 78', Wesley , Gustavo Prado ,
  • 78', Borre R. , Valencia E. ,
  • 80', Diego , Fernando Sobral ,
  • 80', Pedro Henrique , Bruno Tubarao ,
  • 80', Thiago Maia , Diego Rosa ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Internacional RS
57.8%
Draw
25.8%
Ceará
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 24.6% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 23.7% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional RS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Internacional RS - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.52)
    3.66
    (3.8)
    5.89
    (6.8)
    5.5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Ceará?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 69.5%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Internacional RS will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ceará has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Internacional is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Fernando (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceará: Lucas Mugni (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Ceará were as follows:
    26.10.2022 Internacional RS - Ceará 2:1
    Latest results of Internacional RS
    Latest results of Ceará
    16.07.2025 Ceará - Corinthians 0:1
    13.07.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    09.07.2025 Sport Recife - Ceará 0:1
    07.06.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará 1:2
    04.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Ceará 3:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Gremio27891028:33-533
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet