Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 7
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/381) | 75% (290/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/381) | 75% (290/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 35% (29/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (55/87) | 46% (48/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', Dozzell A. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Philogene J. ⚽, Cajuste J. (A),
- 33', Le Roux L. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Hirst G. ⚽, Davis L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Segecic A. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
- 62', Le Roux L. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
- 65', Egeli S. W. 🟨,
- 73', Hirst G. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
- 74', Egeli S. W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
- 74', Cajuste J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 74', Philogene J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 74', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
- 75', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
- 81', Davis L. ↓, Young A. ↑,
- 90', Knight J. ↓, Matthews H. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Pack M. ⚽, Swift J. (A),
Chances of winning
Ipswich Town 70.8% | Draw 18.8% | Portsmouth 10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Ipswich Town - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.5) |
5.32 ↑ (4.3) |
9.63 ↑ (6.2) |
1.4% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Portsmouth?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 72.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Portsmouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ipswich is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W.
(Knee Injury)
Greaves J.
(Red Card)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lang C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Schmid N.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Shaughnessy C.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Portsmouth?
Ipswich Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Ipswich Town?
Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Portsmouth were as follows:
29.12.2022
Portsmouth
-
Ipswich Town
2:2
22.11.2022
Ipswich Town
-
Portsmouth
0:2
01.10.2022
Ipswich Town
-
Portsmouth
3:2
Latest results of Ipswich Town
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One