Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Rodriguez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Gamboa J. ⚽, Hernandez H. (A),
- 39', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 41', Alvarado V. 🟨,
- 44', Pena R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Parra R. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 46', Villaseca D. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 2, Rangel J. ⚽, Pena R. (A),
- 57', 1 - 2, Hernandez J. ⚽,
- 68', Inda S. ↓, Cendejas M. ↑,
- 68', Rangel J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 75', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 75', Cruz C. ↓, Santana C. ↑,
- 77', Zamora S. ↓, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
- 83', del Angel E. 🟨,
- 84', Alvarado V. ↓, Elbis ↑,
- 84', Gamboa J. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
- 86', Tellez B. 🟨,
- 87', Jimenez L. ↓, Ortiz G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
38.7% | Draw
25.9% | Irapuato
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Tapatío - Irapuato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.19) |
3.59 ↓
(3.88) |
2.63 ↓
(2.81) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Irapuato?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Irapuato will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Tapatío may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tapatío won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Irapuato?
Tapatío has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Tapatío?
Irapuato has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Irapuato were as follows:
31.10.2025
Irapuato
-
Tapatío
2:1
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
