Irapuato vs Tapatío – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
84
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Doldan J. , Sandoval R. (A),
  • 12', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 23', Elbis 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Moragrega V. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', de Alba J. , Alvarado V. ,
  • 56', Zamora S. 🟨,
  • 56', Villaseca D. 🟨,
  • 66', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. , Torres C. ,
  • 66', Inda C. , Ledesma L. ,
  • 69', Doldan J. , Santana C. ,
  • 69', Gamboa J. , Munoz G. ,
  • 69', Pucheta J. , Sanchez B. ,
  • 78', Rodriguez A. , Zamudio J. ,
  • 81', Zamora S. , Nuno R. ,
  • 81', Jimenez L. , Aguayo S. ,
  • 89', Villaseca D. , Tellez B. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Sanchez B. ,

Chances of winning


Irapuato
54.6%
Draw
24.2%
Tapatío
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 24.3% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 23.7% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Irapuato aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Irapuato - Tapatío Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.73)
    3.77
    (3.8)
    4.33
    (4.11)
    9.4%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • In recent matches, Irapuato has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tapatío is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Irapuato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Irapuato is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Irapuato
    Latest results of Tapatío
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)