Result
31/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Irapuato
54.6% | Draw
24.2% | Tapatío
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Irapuato - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.73) |
3.77 ↓
(3.8) |
4.33 ↑
(4.11) |
9.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In recent matches, Irapuato has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tapatío is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Irapuato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Irapuato is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Tapatío?
Irapuato has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Irapuato?
Tapatío has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Irapuato - Tapatío were as follows:
Latest results of Irapuato
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun ✔ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Atlante ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Leones Negros | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Atl. Morelia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Venados | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Tapatio | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
