Result
6:3
11/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 02:41, 1 - 0, Kutuzov K. (G), Kolomytsev I. (A), Khatibullin S. (A2)
- 07:19, 1 - 1, Zagrebin M. (G), Pykhtin D. (A),
- 18:25, 1 - 2, Khabibullin A. (G), Zagrebin M. (A),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 01:09, 2 - 2, Nikitin K. (G), Aibatov D. (A), Onishko N. (A2)
- 05:15, 3 - 2, Onishko N. (G), Galeyev I. (A), Saberzyanov M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (3 - 1)
- 02:38, 4 - 2, Potapov Y. (G), Gainullin I. (A), Bardin I. (A2)
- 04:04, 5 - 2, Saberzyanov M. (G), Vaziev K. (A), Onishko N. (A2)
- 07:56, 5 - 3, Akhsyanov B. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Agafonov M. (A2)
- 11:14, 6 - 3, Saberzyanov M. (G), Galeyev I. (A), Gainullin I. (A2)
Chances of winning
Irbis Kazan 51.7% | Draw 21.9% | Tolpar 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Irbis Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Irbis Kazan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tolpar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Irbis Kazan - Tolpar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.89) |
4.15 ↓ (4.23) |
3.44 ↑ (3) |
10% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irbis won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Irbis has had a series of away games.
- Irbis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Irbis won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 66:52. (average 3.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Irbis won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:17. (average 4.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Irbis Kazan won against Tolpar?
Irbis Kazan has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Irbis Kazan?
Tolpar has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Irbis Kazan - Tolpar were as follows:
10.01.2026
Irbis Kazan
-
Tolpar
3:0
07.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Irbis Kazan
5:6
06.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Irbis Kazan
3:4
14.08.2025
Irbis Kazan
-
Tolpar
4:6
28.12.2024
Tolpar
-
Irbis Kazan
4:1
Latest results of Irbis Kazan
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Loko ✔ | 52 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 235:90 | 90 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | 51 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 192:113 | 78 |
| 3 | SKA-1946 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 207:117 | 76 |
| 4 | Krasnaya Armiya | 51 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 172:113 | 75 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | 50 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 195:126 | 73 |
| 6 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 50 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 164:114 | 67 |
| 7 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 50 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 146:114 | 65 |
| 8 | Almaz | 53 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 170:153 | 63 |
| 9 | Din. St. Petersburg | 50 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 167:142 | 60 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tayfun | 53 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 137:140 | 58 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 53 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 134:152 | 57 |
| 3 | SKA-Akademiya | 52 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 146:173 | 55 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 51 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 155:166 | 51 |
| 5 | AKM-Junior | 53 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 139:157 | 50 |
| 6 | Amurskie Tigry | 53 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 122:169 | 48 |
| 7 | Kapitan | 54 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 137:164 | 47 |
| 8 | Atlant | 51 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 139:163 | 45 |
| 9 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 50 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 29 | 116:146 | 42 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 51 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 123:244 | 25 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 52 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 83:275 | 7 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby ✔ | 52 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 194:106 | 74 |
| 2 | Irbis ✔ | 49 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 164:101 | 73 |
| 3 | Stalnye Lisy ✔ | 49 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 167:120 | 67 |
| 4 | Mamonty Yugry ✔ | 50 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 139:119 | 64 |
| 5 | Chaika ✔ | 50 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 149:139 | 63 |
| 6 | Tolpar | 49 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 176:137 | 62 |
| 7 | Avto ✔ | 49 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 162:147 | 61 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 49 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 150:138 | 57 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 51 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 126:167 | 46 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ladya | 52 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 150:111 | 71 |
| 2 | Loko-76 | 50 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 147:111 | 66 |
| 3 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 50 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 170:109 | 65 |
| 4 | Reaktor | 50 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 160:146 | 58 |
| 5 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 53 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 169:205 | 49 |
| 6 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 50 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 117:154 | 42 |
| 7 | Molot Perm | 50 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 129:187 | 38 |
| 8 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 51 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 104:200 | 32 |
| 9 | Tyumensky Legion | 50 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 100:207 | 24 |
| 10 | Snezhnye Barsy | 48 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 98:215 | 19 |
Promotion ~ MHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Loko is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Omskie Yastreby is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Irbis is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Stalnye Lisy is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Mamonty Yugry is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Chaika is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Avto is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )