Irbis Kazan vs Tolpar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:3
11/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 02:41, 1 - 0, Kutuzov K. (G), Kolomytsev I. (A), Khatibullin S. (A2)
  • 07:19, 1 - 1, Zagrebin M. (G), Pykhtin D. (A),
  • 18:25, 1 - 2, Khabibullin A. (G), Zagrebin M. (A),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:09, 2 - 2, Nikitin K. (G), Aibatov D. (A), Onishko N. (A2)
  • 05:15, 3 - 2, Onishko N. (G), Galeyev I. (A), Saberzyanov M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 1)
  • 02:38, 4 - 2, Potapov Y. (G), Gainullin I. (A), Bardin I. (A2)
  • 04:04, 5 - 2, Saberzyanov M. (G), Vaziev K. (A), Onishko N. (A2)
  • 07:56, 5 - 3, Akhsyanov B. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Agafonov M. (A2)
  • 11:14, 6 - 3, Saberzyanov M. (G), Galeyev I. (A), Gainullin I. (A2)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Irbis Kazan
51.7%
Draw
21.9%
Tolpar
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 21.5% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 22.8% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Irbis Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Irbis Kazan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tolpar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Irbis Kazan - Tolpar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.89)
    4.15
    (4.23)
    3.44
    (3)
    10%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irbis won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Irbis has had a series of away games.
    • Irbis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Irbis won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 66:52. (average 3.3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Irbis won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:17. (average 4.2:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Irbis Kazan - Tolpar were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Irbis Kazan - Tolpar 3:0
    07.09.2025 Tolpar - Irbis Kazan 5:6
    06.09.2025 Tolpar - Irbis Kazan 3:4
    14.08.2025 Irbis Kazan - Tolpar 4:6
    28.12.2024 Tolpar - Irbis Kazan 4:1
    Latest results of Irbis Kazan
    Latest results of Tolpar
    10.01.2026 Irbis Kazan - Tolpar 3:0
    05.01.2026 Tolpar - Molot Perm 6:2
    24.12.2025 Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy 4:5
    21.12.2025 Almaz - Tolpar 3:7
    16.12.2025 Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar 2:3
    MHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference - Gold Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Loko ✔ 5238545235:9090
    2Dyn. Moscow51308211192:11378
    3SKA-194652323611207:11776
    4Krasnaya Armiya51287511172:11375
    5MHC Spartak50305312195:12673
    6Mikhaylov Academy U2050284315164:11467
    7Dinamo-Shinnik50227714146:11465
    8Almaz53274121170:15363
    9Din. St. Petersburg50271418167:14260


    Western Conference - Silver Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tayfun53214820137:14058
    2Krylya Sovetov531851119134:15257
    3SKA-Akademiya52204721146:17355
    4MHC Spartak MAX51176523155:16651
    5AKM-Junior53195227139:15750
    6Amurskie Tigry53183626122:16948
    7Kapitan54193329137:16447
    8Atlant51192327139:16345
    9Sakhalinskie Akuly50147029116:14642
    10Dinamo Karelia5174337123:24425
    11Red Mashine521214883:2757


    Eastern Conference - Gold Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Omskie Yastreby ✔ 52304612194:10674
    2Irbis ✔ 49295510164:10173
    3Stalnye Lisy ✔ 49256513167:12067
    4Mamonty Yugry ✔ 50217814139:11964
    5Chaika ✔ 50254516149:13963
    6Tolpar49207814176:13762
    7Avto ✔ 49281317162:14761
    8Belye Medvedi49226120150:13857
    9Kuznetskie Medvedi51137625126:16746


    Eastern Conference - Silver Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ladya52278116150:11171
    2Loko-7650227813147:11166
    3Sibirskie Snaipery50282515170:10965
    4Reaktor50215618160:14658
    5Sputnik Almetievsk53176327169:20549
    6Krasnoyarskie Rysi50135626117:15442
    7Molot Perm50115628129:18738
    8AKM-Novomoskovsk51102831104:20032
    9Tyumensky Legion5092237100:20724
    10Snezhnye Barsy487133798:21519

          Promotion ~ MHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Loko is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
    Omskie Yastreby is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
    Irbis is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
    Stalnye Lisy is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
    Mamonty Yugry is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
    Chaika is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
    Avto is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )