Result
5:4
02/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:08, 0 - 1, Degtyarev M. (G), Kireyev R. (A),
- 13:04, 1 - 1, Kurichev N. (G), Maier V. (A), Golnik R. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 17:53, 1 - 2, Buzdyganov V. (G), Khabibullin A. (A),
- 3rd Period (4 - 2)
- 01:44, 2 - 2, Serazetdinov D. (G), Rubin A. (A), Gushchin M. (A2)
- 02:34, 3 - 2, Gushchin M. (G), Golnik R. (A), Serazetdinov D. (A2)
- 04:10, 4 - 2, Mukhranov Y. (G), Alshevsky A. (A), Sysoyev D. (A2)
- 08:36, 5 - 2, Kurichev N. (G), Mukhranov Y. (A), Golnik R. (A2)
- 17:03, 5 - 3, Khabibullin A. (G),
- 19:23, 5 - 4, Khabibullin A. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
Chances of winning
Stalnye Lisy
37.1% | Draw
24.2% | Tolpar
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stalnye Lisy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stalnye Lisy's form might have worsened.Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolpar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stalnye Lisy than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stalnye Lisy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(1.68) |
3.79 ↓
(4.33) |
2.37 ↓
(3.8) |
9.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stalnye Lisy won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Stalnye Lisy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tolpar has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stalnye Lisy won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 63:62. (average 3.2:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stalnye Lisy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 2.9:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Stalnye Lisy won against Tolpar?
Stalnye Lisy has won 10 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Stalnye Lisy?
Tolpar has won 11 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar were as follows:
24.12.2025
Tolpar
-
Stalnye Lisy
4:5
16.12.2025
Stalnye Lisy
-
Tolpar
2:3
15.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Stalnye Lisy
2:3
28.08.2025
Tolpar
-
Stalnye Lisy
5:4
25.02.2025
Stalnye Lisy
-
Tolpar
2:1
Latest results of Stalnye Lisy
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Loko | Bye | |
| 2 | Din. St. Petersburg | Tayfun | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dyn. Moscow | Bye | |
| 4 | Dinamo-Shinnik | Krylya Sovetov | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Omskie Yastreby | Bye | |
| 6 | Mamonty Yugry | Sibirskie Snaipery | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Irbis | Bye | |
| 8 | Chaika | Ladya | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | MHC Spartak | Bye | |
| 10 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | SKA-Akademiya | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | SKA-1946 | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Krasnaya Armiya | |
| 13 | Stalnye Lisy | Bye | |
| 14 | Belye Medvedi | Loko-76 | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tolpar | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Avto | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Loko | Din. St. Petersburg | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | Dinamo-Shinnik | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Omskie Yastreby | Sibirskie Snaipery | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Irbis | Chaika | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | SKA-1946 | Krasnaya Armiya | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Stalnye Lisy | Belye Medvedi | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tolpar | Avto | 1 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Loko | Dinamo-Shinnik | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Omskie Yastreby | Chaika | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | MHC Spartak | Krasnaya Armiya | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Stalnye Lisy | Avto | 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Loko | Chaika | |
| 2 | MHC Spartak | Avto | |
