Ismaily vs El Mokawloon El Arab – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus, On Time Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.111.62
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
34
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
34
Passes
67% (209/310)53% (123/233)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.111.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.631.41
Total shots
412
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
17
Blocked shots
01
Shots inside the box
17
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
2016
Passes
67% (209/310)53% (123/233)
Long passes
39% (29/75)26% (20/77)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)37% (34/93)
Crosses
47% (7/15)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.41
Throw ins
2124
Fouls
1620
Tackles
64% (7/11)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6258
Clearances
2525
Interceptions
92
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.410.63
Goals prevented
-0.59-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Mostafa A. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Al Nabris K. , El Dah A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', 0 - 1, Ojera J. ,
  • 61', Khatary M. , Hamdi M. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, El Dah A. , Hamdi M. (A),
  • 66', Mohamed H. , Nader A. ,
  • 66', Shakoush H. H. , Kahraba ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Ojera J. , Gamal M. (A),
  • 78', Nasr M. , Saber H. ,
  • 80', Al Kadi I. 🟥,
  • 80', Hamdi M. 🟨,
  • 83', Naguib S. , Abdellah I. ,
  • 84', Ojera J. 🟨,
  • 90', Aboul Saoud M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Gaber I. , Hesham N. ,
  • 90+6', Ojera J. , Abdelnasser M. ,

Chances of winning


Ismaily
25%
Draw
34.1%
El Mokawloon El Arab
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 33.4% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 31.7% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.7
    (3.61)
    2.72
    (2.78)
    2.26
    (2.27)
    8.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Ismaily (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ismaily (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 18 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 0.
    • Recent performances by Ismaily have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • El Mokawloon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • El Mokawloon might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
    13.08.2024 Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab 1:1
    09.03.2024 El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily 1:1
    31.05.2023 El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily 2:2
    13.01.2023 Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab 1:3
    Latest results of Ismaily
    17.01.2026 Ismaily - Wadi Degla 1:2
    01.01.2026 Ismaily - Modern Sport 0:0
    25.12.2025 Pyramids - Ismaily 1:3
    19.12.2025 Petrojet - Ismaily 1:0
    Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    8ZED11001:0132
    9Wadi Degla10100:0030
    10El Gouna10100:0029
    11National Bank Egypt10101:1027
    12Petrojet10102:2026
    13Modern Sport10101:1024
    14El Gaish10010:1-122
    15Al Ittihad10101:1021
    16Ghazl El Mahallah10101:1020
    17Arab Contractors10102:2019
    18Haras El Hodood10100:0018
    19Kahrabaa Ismailia10101:1017
    20Pharco10101:1016
    21El Ismaily10100:0012

          Relegation ~ Division 2 A