Result
1:2
22/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (209/310) | 53% (123/233) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (209/310) | 53% (123/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (29/75) | 26% (20/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (51/92) | 37% (34/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Mostafa A. 🟨,
- 45+7', Al Nabris K. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', 0 - 1, Ojera J. ⚽,
- 61', Khatary M. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, El Dah A. ⚽, Hamdi M. (A),
- 66', Mohamed H. ↓, Nader A. ↑,
- 66', Shakoush H. H. ↓, Kahraba ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Ojera J. ⚽, Gamal M. (A),
- 78', Nasr M. ↓, Saber H. ↑,
- 80', Al Kadi I. 🟥,
- 80', Hamdi M. 🟨,
- 83', Naguib S. ↓, Abdellah I. ↑,
- 84', Ojera J. 🟨,
- 90', Aboul Saoud M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Gaber I. ↓, Hesham N. ↑,
- 90+6', Ojera J. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ismaily
25% | Draw
34.1% | El Mokawloon El Arab
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↑
(3.61) |
2.72 ↓
(2.78) |
2.26 ↓
(2.27) |
8.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Ismaily (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ismaily (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 18 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 0.
- Recent performances by Ismaily have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Mokawloon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- El Mokawloon might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Ismaily has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Ismaily?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
13.08.2024
Ismaily
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:1
09.03.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Ismaily
1:1
31.05.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Ismaily
2:2
13.01.2023
Ismaily
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:3
Latest results of Ismaily
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
