Result
1:0
31/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 11
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (385/442) | 81% (257/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (385/442) | 81% (257/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (43/59) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (102/131) | 64% (35/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Opoku J. ↓, Ba O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gunes U. ↓, Kemen O. ↑,
- 62', Ozdemir B. 🟨,
- 63', Da Costa N. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
- 65', Linetty K. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 73', Crespo M. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
- 77', Agyei D. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
- 78', Keita H. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
- 85', Dursun S. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
- 88', Oguz A. 🟨,
- 88', Balogh B. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Shomurodov E. (Pen),
- 90+2', Sahiner O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Show ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
- 90+4', Sari Y. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir
51.9% | Draw
26% | Kocaelispor
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.81) |
3.64 ↓
(4.03) |
4.34 ↑
(4.08) |
5.5%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -1 - Başakşehir (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Başakşehir (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Kocaelispor (3.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Kocaelispor (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
İstanbul Başakşehir will win
(25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Kocaelispor (votes: 4 - 21.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
- Başakşehir has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kocaelispor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Başakşehir is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Fayzullaev A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Petkovic B.
(Injury)
Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Churlinov D.
(Injury)
Haidara M.
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Kocaelispor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Kocaelispor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor were as follows:
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 55:17 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 23 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 52:21 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 48 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 44:29 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Konyaspor | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 23 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
