İstanbul Başakşehir vs Sivasspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 26
  • Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.96
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
117
Shots on Goal
30
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
Free Kicks
1314
Offsides
20
Fouls
1413
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2114
Touches in the Opposition Box
219
Passes
86% (451/525)73% (238/326)
Passes in the final third
67% (78/116)63% (75/120)
Crosses
14% (3/21)25% (3/12)
Tackles
56% (5/9)77% (10/13)
Clearances Total
2532
Interceptions
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Turuc D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Paluli M. 🟨,
  • 52', Ba O. 🟨,
  • 67', Poungouras A. , Koita F. ,
  • 69', Sari Y. , Crespo M. ,
  • 73', Bekiroglu E. , Rodrigues G. ,
  • 82', Kemen O. , Gunes U. ,
  • 82', Figueiredo J. , Keny P. P. ,
  • 89', Simic V. , Boke T. ,
  • 90+3', Turuc D. , Beyaz O. ,
  • 90+3', Piatek K. , Gureler H. ,
  • 90+6', Sahiner O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Koita F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
64.6%
Draw
22%
Sivasspor
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23.1% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 22.3% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbul Başakşehir's performance.
  • Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.65)
    4.31
    (4.21)
    7.02
    (5.47)
    5.7%
    (2.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor?
  • Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 92.08%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 3.
    • Recent matches Başakşehir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sivasspor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Başakşehir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Başakşehir is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Operi C. (Knee Injury) Opoku J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Radakovic U. (Red Card) Rodrigues G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sivasspor: Cigerci T. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 7 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Başakşehir won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:2
    12.05.2024 Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:1
    19.12.2023 İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor 3:1
    09.04.2023 Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:1
    10.10.2022 İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor 0:2
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    25.02.2025 Sivasspor - Bodrumspor 0:1
    22.02.2025 Sivasspor - Konyaspor 1:1
    15.02.2025 Gaziantep - Sivasspor 2:1
    08.02.2025 Sivasspor - Beşiktaş 0:2
    04.02.2025 Kocaelispor - Sivasspor 0:2
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig