Result
09/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir
49.9% | Draw
26.5% | Samsunspor
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89
(1.89) |
3.56 ↓
(3.57) |
3.98 ↓
(4.03) |
6.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 3.
- Recent performances by Başakşehir have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Samsunspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Başakşehir is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Samsunspor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Samsunspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor were as follows:
14.12.2025
Samsunspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
0:2
01.02.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Samsunspor
4:0
18.09.2024
Samsunspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:0
03.03.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Samsunspor
1:0
22.10.2023
Samsunspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
0:0
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
