İstanbul Başakşehir vs Sivasspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 26
  • Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.96
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
117
Shots on Goal
30
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
Free Kicks
1314
Offsides
20
Fouls
1413
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2114
Touches in the Opposition Box
219
Passes
86% (451/525)73% (238/326)
Passes in the final third
67% (78/116)63% (75/120)
Crosses
14% (3/21)25% (3/12)
Tackles
56% (5/9)77% (10/13)
Clearances Total
2532
Interceptions
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Turuc D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Paluli M. 🟨,
  • 52', Ba O. 🟨,
  • 67', Poungouras A. , Koita F. ,
  • 69', Sari Y. , Crespo M. ,
  • 73', Bekiroglu E. , Rodrigues G. ,
  • 82', Kemen O. , Gunes U. ,
  • 82', Figueiredo J. , Keny P. P. ,
  • 89', Simic V. , Boke T. ,
  • 90+3', Turuc D. , Beyaz O. ,
  • 90+3', Piatek K. , Gureler H. ,
  • 90+6', Sahiner O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Koita F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
64.6%
Draw
22%
Sivasspor
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23.1% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 22.3% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbul Başakşehir's performance.
  • Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.65)
    4.31
    (4.21)
    7.02
    (5.47)
    5.7%
    (2.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor?
  • Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 92.08%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 3.
    • Recent matches Başakşehir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sivasspor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Başakşehir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Başakşehir is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Operi C. (Knee Injury) Opoku J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Radakovic U. (Red Card) Rodrigues G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sivasspor: Cigerci T. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 7 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Başakşehir won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:2
    12.05.2024 Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:1
    19.12.2023 İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor 3:1
    09.04.2023 Sivasspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:1
    10.10.2022 İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor 0:2
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    25.02.2025 Sivasspor - Bodrumspor 0:1
    22.02.2025 Sivasspor - Konyaspor 1:1
    15.02.2025 Gaziantep - Sivasspor 2:1
    08.02.2025 Sivasspor - Beşiktaş 0:2
    04.02.2025 Kocaelispor - Sivasspor 0:2
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray29215367:224568
    2Fenerbahce29199166:283866
    3Trabzonspor29197356:312564
    4Besiktas29167653:341955
    5Basaksehir29138847:301747
    6Goztepe291211636:261047
    7Samsunspor29912834:38-439
    8Rizespor29991139:40-136
    9Kocaelispor29981224:33-935
    10Konyaspor298101136:41-534
    11Gaziantep298101138:49-1134
    12Alanyaspor29615835:34133
    13Kasimpasa296101328:41-1328
    14Antalyaspor29771530:47-1728
    15Genclerbirligi29671628:42-1425
    16Kayserispor294111421:54-3323
    17Eyupspor29571720:43-2322
    18Karagumruk29551926:51-2520

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig