Erzurumspor vs İstanbulspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
29/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.46
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
88% (423/478)85% (329/387)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.240.00
Total shots
205
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
153
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
4312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
88% (423/478)85% (329/387)
Long passes
80% (57/71)50% (21/42)
Passes in final third
77% (121/157)67% (52/78)
Crosses
41% (16/39)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.070.35
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1012
Tackles
83% (5/6)100% (3/3)
Duels won
3922
Clearances
631
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.002.24
Goals prevented
0.00-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Fettahoglu M. , Ovacikli O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Temel V. , Dayakli I. ,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Tozlu E. , Akgun S. (A),
  • 57', Keser B. 🟨,
  • 59', Erdal I. A. , Mermerci D. ,
  • 66', Krstovski M. , Sambissa D. ,
  • 66', Gultekin E. , Mamadou M. ,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Tozlu E. , Ovacikli O. (A),
  • 76', Keser B. , Kirtay Y. ,
  • 77', Sahin D. , Duymaz O. F. ,
  • 82', Tozlu E. , Sylla C. ,
  • 82', Yumlu M. , Ulgen A. ,
  • 83', Baiye B. , Kabak A. ,
  • 87', Fettahoglu M. 🟨,
  • 87', Fettahoglu M. , Sarikaya S. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, Gerxhaliu A. , Akgun S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzurumspor
66.4%
Draw
21.2%
İstanbulspor
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 22.8% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.3% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzurumspor's performance.
  • İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzurumspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.56)
    4.4
    (4.08)
    7.38
    (5.25)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Erzurumspor is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Erzurumspor: Akpinar M. (Suspended) Bayrak C. (Suspended) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Onal M. (Suspended) Ozhan F. (Suspended) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive) Sever I. (Suspended) Yener H. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aydin D. (Suspended) Kabadayi K. (Suspended) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Ozer Y. (Suspended) Sarialioglu E. (Suspended) Tultak F. (Suspended) Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Suspended)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor 1:2
    27.02.2025 Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor 0:3
    14.12.2024 İstanbulspor - Erzurumspor 3:2
    Latest results of Erzurumspor
    23.11.2025 Igdirspor - Erzurumspor 2:1
    09.11.2025 Erzurumspor - Erokspor 1:1
    31.10.2025 Hatayspor - Erzurumspor 0:3
    24.10.2025 Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor 2:0
    18.10.2025 Manisa FK - Erzurumspor 1:1
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to