Result
2:2
04/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 33
- Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (360/453) | 65% (178/272) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (360/453) | 65% (178/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 30% (19/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (76/124) | 44% (27/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Yildirim P. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Cham A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Vukovic J. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 2, Duymaz O. F. ⚽, Temel V. (A),
- 62', Demir E. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
- 62', Owusu ↓, Bostan M. ↑,
- 67', Sahan O. ↓, Phellipe ↑,
- 67', Temel V. ↓, Dayakli I. ↑,
- 68', Sen K. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 68', Cakir B. ↓, Kocaman A. ↑,
- 75', Bostan M. 🟨,
- 78', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
- 80', Cham A. ↓, Aydin D. ↑,
- 80', Duymaz O. F. ↓, Sambissa D. ↑,
- 83', Vukovic J. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
- 84', Krstovski M. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 2, Bostan M. ⚽, Yildirim P. (A),
- 90+1', Krstovski M. ↓, Sandikci E. ↑,
- 90+1', Bostan M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Tuncer T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
48.9% | Draw
25.8% | İstanbulspor
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.28) |
3.59 ↑
(3.46) |
3.67 ↑
(2.87) |
7.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor?
Users Predictions:
Sakaryaspor will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).
- Sakaryaspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- İstanbulspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aksu D.
(Knee Injury)
Dogan I.
(Face Injury)
Emek A.
(Suspended)
Ologo Inainfe M.
(Broken Leg)
Ozer Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Vardar B.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Duymaz O. F.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against İstanbulspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbulspor won against Sakaryaspor?
İstanbulspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor were as follows:
22.11.2025
İstanbulspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:3
06.03.2025
İstanbulspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:0
20.10.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
İstanbulspor
3:1
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of İstanbulspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hatayspor is Relegated to
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
