Result
1:1
30/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 20
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (423/508) | 68% (168/247) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (423/508) | 68% (168/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 29% (14/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (95/145) | 51% (37/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Prevljak S. ⚽, Frederiksen E. (A),
- 25', Boskovic B. 🟨,
- 32', Vukovic D. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Vukovic D. ⚽, Trajkovski A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Heister M. ↓, Sepic N. ↑,
- 61', Ahmeti D. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
- 75', Susak M. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
- 75', Kamenovic D. ↓, Dajcer L. ↑,
- 78', Rozic V. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
- 86', Vesovic M. ↓, Boune M. ↑,
- 86', Vukovic D. ↓, Posavac F. ↑,
- 90+2', Trajkovski A. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
43.3% | Draw
28.7% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Istra 1961's form might have worsened.Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.89) |
3.25 ↓
(3.47) |
3.34 ↓
(3.67) |
7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 3 - 50%). Lokomotiva (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Lokomotiva (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Istra 1961 (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lokomotiva (votes: 5 - 55.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, Lokomotiva has had a series of home games.
- Istra 1961 could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Koski V.
(Injury)
Mauric A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Stojakovic A.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
25.10.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
1:2
09.08.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:2
03.05.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
0:0
04.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
28.02.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:2
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 52:17 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Osijek | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
