Result
1:2
25/10/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/388) | 82% (344/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/388) | 82% (344/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 40% (19/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (63/94) | 65% (60/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Stojakovic A. ⚽, Vukovic D. (A),
- 24', Boskovic B. ↓, Antolic D. ↑,
- 29', Mauric A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Mauric A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Heister M. 🟨,
- 67', Stojakovic A. 🟨,
- 68', Mauric A. ↓, Nasraoui M. ↑,
- 68', Prevljak S. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
- 74', Stojakovic A. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 74', Katic I. ↓, Zaper M. ↑,
- 78', Rozic V. ↓, Frederiksen E. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Ayuma I. ⚽, Frederiksen E. (A),
- 83', Mbacke D. 🟨,
- 86', Kadusic A. ↓, Jay A. ↑,
- 89', Mbacke D. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 89', Krivak F. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
- 90+4', Pajac M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Nasraoui M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
37.3% | Draw
28.5% | Istra 1961
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.79) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
2.7 ↑
(2.28) |
6.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiva Zagreb will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiva Zagreb will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 0.
- Lokomotiva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Istra 1961 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Boune M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 were as follows:
09.08.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:2
03.05.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
0:0
04.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
28.02.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:2
01.12.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
1:2
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Din. Zagreb | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:10 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Gorica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
