Result
0:0
03/05/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 33
- Referee: Melnjak A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (385/441) | 87% (438/504) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (385/441) | 87% (438/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (14/34) | 58% (22/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (46/71) | 69% (95/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Loncar S. 🟨,
- 43', Dajcer L. 🟨,
- 44', Loncar S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Lawal S. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
- 64', Krivak F. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
- 75', Karacic F. 🟨,
- 78', Fetai F. 🟨,
- 87', Maresic D. 🟨,
- 87', Maresic D. ↓, Calusic I. ↑,
- 90', Koski V. ↓, Keller S. ↑,
- 90+3', Fetai F. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
28.3% | Draw
28.8% | Istra 1961
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiva Zagreb's form might have worsened.Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Istra 1961's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiva Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Istra 1961, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↑
(2.46) |
3.28 ↑
(3.1) |
2.22 ↓
(2.93) |
6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium./
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 1.
- Lokomotiva is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Istra 1961 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Istra 1961 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Kolinger D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Pajac M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 were as follows:
04.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
28.02.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:2
01.12.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
1:2
14.09.2024
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0:2
29.03.2024
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0:0
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
