Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 2
- Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/375) | 81% (241/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/375) | 81% (241/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 49% (23/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (98/139) | 70% (48/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Vukovic D. ⚽,
- 42', Pajac M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Vukovic D. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
- 46', Situm M. ↓, Godec N. ↑,
- 46', Frederiksen E. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
- 46', Mauric A. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Lawal S. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
- 65', Stojakovic A. ↓, Subotic M. ↑,
- 72', Loncar S. 🟨,
- 76', Prevljak S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Bangura S. ⚽,
- 80', Mbacke D. 🟨,
- 83', Lawal S. ↓, Nasraoui M. ↑,
- 85', Krivak F. ↓, Huskic A. ↑,
- 85', Antolic D. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 90', Kolinger D. 🟥,
- 90+2', Loncar S. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Susak M. ⚽, Pajac M. (A),
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
53% | Draw
27.6% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Istra 1961's performance.Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiva Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Istra 1961 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiva Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.16) |
3.5 ↑
(2.95) |
4.78 ↑
(3.81) |
3.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Istra 1961 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Istra 1961 has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Istra 1961 is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Gorican S.
(Inactive)
Zilinski F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Leovac M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
03.05.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
0:0
04.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
28.02.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:2
01.12.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
1:2
14.09.2024
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0:2
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 7 | Varazdin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Gorica | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Osijek | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
