Itabaiana vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Itabaiana - Caxias
Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
177
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Iago ,
  • 42', Thiago Coelho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Romeu , Leilson ,
  • 62', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. , Robinho ,
  • 62', Jackson , Joao Cabral ,
  • 65', Eduardo Melo , Eliedson ,
  • 65', Pedro Cuiaba , Gustavo Nescau ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Leilson ,
  • 73', Vinicius Guedes , Lorran ,
  • 73', Iago , Petterson ,
  • 74', Carlos Coppetti , Elimar ,
  • 74', Fabricio Oya , Rhuan Silveira ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Robinho , Joao Cabral (A),
  • 77', Calyson , Gabriel Lima ,
  • 79', Betao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
35.1%
Draw
32.2%
Caxias
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.7% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Itabaiana - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.28)
    2.83
    (3.1)
    2.79
    (2.95)
    9.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Caxias?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Itabaiana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    18.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana 1:0
    12.05.2025 Itabaiana - Figueirense 1:1
    03.05.2025 Tombense - Itabaiana 2:0
    27.04.2025 Itabaiana - São Bernardo 0:1
    19.04.2025 Ypiranga - Itabaiana 3:2
    Latest results of Caxias
    18.05.2025 São Bernardo - Caxias 1:0
    11.05.2025 Caxias - Retrô Brasil 2:1
    05.05.2025 Figueirense - Caxias 2:3
    28.04.2025 Caxias - Guarani 2:0
    20.04.2025 Confiança - Caxias 2:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    First stage
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias19121626:21537
    2Ponte Preta19113520:16436
    3Nautico19106325:71836
    4Londrina1986527:19830
    5Sao Bernardo1986519:15430
    6Brusque1984720:17328
    7Guarani1976620:20027
    8Floresta EC1976615:15027
    9Confianca1975721:22-126
    10Ypiranga FC1974817:21-425
    11Maringa FC19510426:24225
    12Ituano1966719:24-524
    13Botafogo PB1965822:21123
    14Figueirense1958621:18323
    15Anapolis1958616:19-323
    16Itabaiana1964916:20-422
    17CSA1957721:23-222
    18ABC19212520:25-518
    19Retro1935117:22-1514
    20Tombense1928914:23-914

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D