Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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51% | 49% |
Total shots |
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23 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Total shots |
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23 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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17 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Iago ⚽,
- 42', Thiago Coelho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Romeu ↓, Leilson ↑,
- 62', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 62', Jackson ↓, Joao Cabral ↑,
- 65', Eduardo Melo ↓, Eliedson ↑,
- 65', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Leilson ⚽,
- 73', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Lorran ↑,
- 73', Iago ↓, Petterson ↑,
- 74', Carlos Coppetti ↓, Elimar ↑,
- 74', Fabricio Oya ↓, Rhuan Silveira ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Robinho ⚽, Joao Cabral (A),
- 77', Calyson ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
- 79', Betao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana 35.1% | Draw 32.2% | Caxias 32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Itabaiana - Caxias Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.6 ↑ (2.28) |
2.83 ↓ (3.1) |
2.79 ↓ (2.95) |
9.6% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Caxias?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- Itabaiana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Caxias?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Itabaiana?
Caxias has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Caxias were as follows:
Latest results of Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SER Caxias | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 27 |
2 | Ponte Preta | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 26 |
3 | Londrina | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
4 | Sao Bernardo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 22 |
5 | Ypiranga FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 20 |
6 | Nautico | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 19 |
8 | Brusque | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
9 | CSA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
10 | Ituano | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
11 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
12 | Guarani | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
13 | Figueirense | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
14 | Maringa FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 15 |
15 | ABC | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Confianca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 |
17 | Anapolis | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
18 | Retro | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
19 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Tombense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D