Itabaiana vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Itabaiana - Caxias
Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
177
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Iago ,
  • 42', Thiago Coelho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Romeu , Leilson ,
  • 62', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. , Robinho ,
  • 62', Jackson , Joao Cabral ,
  • 65', Eduardo Melo , Eliedson ,
  • 65', Pedro Cuiaba , Gustavo Nescau ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Leilson ,
  • 73', Vinicius Guedes , Lorran ,
  • 73', Iago , Petterson ,
  • 74', Carlos Coppetti , Elimar ,
  • 74', Fabricio Oya , Rhuan Silveira ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Robinho , Joao Cabral (A),
  • 77', Calyson , Gabriel Lima ,
  • 79', Betao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
35.1%
Draw
32.2%
Caxias
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.7% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Itabaiana - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.28)
    2.83
    (3.1)
    2.79
    (2.95)
    9.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Caxias?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Itabaiana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    18.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana 1:0
    12.05.2025 Itabaiana - Figueirense 1:1
    03.05.2025 Tombense - Itabaiana 2:0
    27.04.2025 Itabaiana - São Bernardo 0:1
    19.04.2025 Ypiranga - Itabaiana 3:2
    Latest results of Caxias
    18.05.2025 São Bernardo - Caxias 1:0
    11.05.2025 Caxias - Retrô Brasil 2:1
    05.05.2025 Figueirense - Caxias 2:3
    28.04.2025 Caxias - Guarani 2:0
    20.04.2025 Confiança - Caxias 2:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D