Result
2:1 penalties
31/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- World Cup - Qualification - Promotion - Final
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | BHT 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3, V Sport Premium |
 France | New World TV |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
 Hungary | Spiler2 TV |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | iNews, Vidio |
 Italy | RAI 1, RaiPlay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Prime+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Sport 24 Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (614/698) | 74% (287/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (614/698) | 74% (287/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (37/55) | 38% (32/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (236/272) | 62% (76/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (10/54) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Kean M. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
- 41', Bastoni A. 🟥,
- 44', Retegui M. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kolasinac S. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
- 46', Sunjic I. ↓, Tahirovic B. ↑,
- 46', Politano M. ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
- 54', Tahirovic B. 🟨,
- 71', Kean M. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
- 71', Locatelli M. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
- 71', Memic A. ↓, Burnic D. ↑,
- 71', Basic I. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Tabakovic H. ⚽,
- 81', Donnarumma G. 🟨,
- 85', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Dimarco F. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
- 102', Muharemovic T. 🟨,
- 114', Katic N. 🟨,
- 115', Demirovic E. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
- 120+1', Frattesi D. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 1)
- 1, Tahirovic B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Esposito F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Tabakovic H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Tonali S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Alajbegovic K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Cristante B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Bajraktarevic E. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Bosnia and Herzegovina
13.3% | Draw
22.3% | Italy
64.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bosnia and Herzegovina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bosnia and Herzegovina's form might have worsened.Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Italy's recent form is better than expected.
Bosnia and Herzegovina - Italy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.18 ↑
(4.83) |
4.27 ↑
(3.62) |
1.48 ↓
(1.79) |
4.8%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bosnia and Herzegovina - Italy?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- TQ, OT - Italy (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Italy (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Italy (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - Italy (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Italy (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Italy (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Italy (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Italy (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Italy (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Bosnia (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Italy will win
(71 of 82 users predict this - 86.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.21% – 93.97%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Italy will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Bosnia (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Italy (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, Italy is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Italy: Chiesa F.
(Injury)
Scamacca G.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bosnia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bosnia and Herzegovina won against Italy?
Bosnia and Herzegovina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Italy won against Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Italy has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bosnia and Herzegovina - Italy were as follows:
09.06.2024
Italy
-
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1:0
Latest results of Bosnia and Herzegovina
FIFA World Cup Table
South America | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31:10 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | Colombia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24:17 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Paraguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Bolivia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 20 |
| 8 | Venezuela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Peru | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6:21 | -15 | 12 |
| 10 | Chile | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ World Cup
Promotion ~ World Cup (Promotion: )
