Belgium W vs Italy W, UEFA Euro Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Euro Women
Football UEFA Euro Women Belgium W - Italy W
Result
0:1
03/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro Women - Round 1
  • Referee: Grundbacher D. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaRTSH Sport
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaORF On, ORF Sport+, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumBNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF La Une, VRT Canvas
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaBNT 3
canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaHRT 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusRIK 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
estoniaEstoniaETV 2
finlandFinlandYLE TV2
franceFranceFrance 3, France 4, Free, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgia1TV Player
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, ZDF
greeceGreeceERT 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
icelandIcelandRUV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyRAI 2, RaiPlay
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaTVR Moldova
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, Sporza
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
norwayNorwayNRK 1, NRK Sport, NRK TV
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaTVR+, TVR Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainRTVE Play, Teledeporte
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, SVT 1, SVT 2, SVT Play, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, BBC Two
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 24 Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.41
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
83% (314/380)79% (265/334)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.88
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1825
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
814
Passes
83% (314/380)79% (265/334)
Long passes
51% (21/41)68% (41/60)
Passes in final third
70% (73/104)58% (52/89)
Crosses
13% (2/16)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.89
Throw-ins
2916
Fouls
148
Tackles
71% (10/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
2948
Clearances
1522
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.880.67
Goals prevented
1.190.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Lenzini M. 🟨,
  • 33', Di Guglielmo L. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Caruso A. ⚽, Di Guglielmo L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Cantore S. 🟨,
  • 53', Di Guglielmo L. ↓, Oliviero E. ↑,
  • 53', Giugliano M. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
  • 66', Toloba A. ↓, Detruyer M. ↑,
  • 66', Janssens J. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,
  • 72', Lenzini M. ↓, Piga J. ↑,
  • 72', Cantore S. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
  • 75', Eurlings H. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
  • 80', Kees S. 🟨,
  • 87', Vanhaevermaet J. ↓, De Caigny T. ↑,
  • 87', Deloose L. ↓, Van Kerkhoven E. ↑,

Chances of winning


Belgium W
19.1%		Draw
23.8%		Italy W
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 24.9% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgium W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
    •

    Belgium W - Italy W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.86 ↑
    (4.16)    		 3.94 ↑
    (3.8)    		 1.68 ↓
    (1.8)    		 5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Belgium W - Italy W?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Belgium will win (votes: 8 - 19.5%). Italy will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 56.8% – 84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Belgium (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Italy (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Belgium may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Italy is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgium won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgium W - Italy W were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Italy W - Belgium W 1:2
    Latest results of Belgium W
    26.06.2025 Belgium W - Greece W 2:0
    20.06.2025 France W - Belgium W 5:0
    03.06.2025 Portugal W - Belgium W 0:3 ✺
    30.05.2025 Belgium W - Spain W 1:5 ✺
    08.04.2025 Belgium W - England W 3:2
    Latest results of Italy W
    03.06.2025 Wales W - Italy W 1:4 ✺
    30.05.2025 Italy W - Sweden W 0:0
    08.04.2025 Denmark W - Italy W 0:3
    04.04.2025 Sweden W - Italy W 3:2
    25.02.2025 Italy W - Denmark W 1:3
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)2 : 1
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