Italy W vs Denmark W, FIFA World Cup Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup Women - Qualification - League A
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkDR 2, DR TV
hong-kongHong-kongNow Player, NOW Premier League 5
italyItalyRAI 2, RaiPlay
swedenSwedenSVT 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.131.28
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
52
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
44
Passes
82% (377/458)77% (221/288)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
1.131.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.65
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
86
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1413
Passes
82% (377/458)77% (221/288)
Long passes
42% (18/43)39% (16/41)
Passes in final third
74% (102/138)52% (43/82)
Crosses
19% (5/26)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.51
Throw ins
3315
Fouls
1314
Tackles
72% (13/18)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4844
Clearances
2136
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.651.12
Goals prevented
-0.350.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Caruso A. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Piemonte M. , Giugliano M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Harder P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 59', Bonansea B. , Bergamaschi V. ,
  • 60', Bergamaschi V. 🟨,
  • 61', Vangsgaard A. , Floe C. ,
  • 61', Gejl M. , Holdt O. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Holdt O. , Svava S. (A),
  • 71', Piemonte M. , Girelli C. ,
  • 71', Dragoni G. , Cambiaghi M. ,
  • 78', Linari E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Italy W
46.5%
Draw
27.8%
Denmark W
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 25.4% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Denmark W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Italy W - Denmark W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.97)
    3.36
    (3.58)
    3.53
    (3.22)
    8.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2.
    • Italy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Italy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy W - Denmark W were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Denmark W - Italy W 0:3
    25.02.2025 Italy W - Denmark W 1:3
    Latest results of Italy W
    03.03.2026 Italy W - Sweden W 0:1
    01.12.2025 USA W - Italy W 2:0
    28.11.2025 USA W - Italy W 3:0
    28.10.2025 Italy W - Brazil W 0:1
    24.10.2025 Italy W - Japan W 1:1
    Latest results of Denmark W
    03.03.2026 Denmark W - Serbia W 3:1
    01.12.2025 Denmark W - Norway W 0:0
    28.10.2025 Denmark W - Finland W 2:0
    24.10.2025 Finland W - Denmark W 1:6
    12.07.2025 Poland W - Denmark W 3:2
    FIFA World Cup Women Table
    Europe

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Denmark W21104:224
    2Sweden W21101:014
    3Italy W20111:2-11
    4Serbia W20111:3-21


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France W22006:246
    2Netherlands W21104:314
    3Poland W20113:6-31
    4Ireland W20022:4-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1England W22008:176
    2Spain W22006:156
    3Iceland W20020:5-50
    4Ukraine W20022:9-70


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Germany W22009:096
    2Norway W21011:4-33
    3Slovenia W21011:5-43
    4Austria W20020:2-20

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