Result
1:4
03/06/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- UEFA Nations League Women - League A - Round 6
- Referee: Antoniou E. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | RaiPlay, RAI Sport |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, BBC Two |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (287/360) | 82% (371/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 3.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (287/360) | 82% (371/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 25% (9/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (34/66) | 54% (40/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.48 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 9', 0 - 1, Linari E. ⚽,
- 21', 0 - 2, Girelli C. ⚽, Giugliano M. (A),
- 35', Soffia A. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 3, Cantore S. ⚽, Soffia A. (A),
- 45+4', Clark O. ↓, Middleton-Patel S. ↑,
- 45+5', 0 - 4, Girelli C. ⚽, Giugliano M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jones C. ↓, Hughes E. ↑,
- 46', Cantore S. ↓, Giacinti V. ↑,
- 46', Soffia A. ↓, Bergamaschi V. ↑,
- 57', Lenzini M. ↓, Piga J. ↑,
- 62', Linari E. 🟨,
- 69', Girelli C. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
- 77', Green J. ↓, Morgan E. ↑,
- 77', Griffiths A. ↓, Fishlock J. ↑,
- 77', Rowe R. ↓, Joel L. ↑,
- 77', Giuliani L. ↓, Durante F. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 4, Fishlock J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Wales W
15.3% | Draw
22.3% | Italy W
62.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wales W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Italy W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Wales W - Italy W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.08 ↑
(5.64) |
4.17 ↓
(4.79) |
1.49 ↑
(1.47) |
7.6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wales W - Italy W?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Italy (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Wales is Relegated to UEFA Nations League Women (League B )
- In this match, Italy is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wales won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Wales W won against Italy W?
Wales W has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Italy W won against Wales W?
Italy W has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wales W - Italy W were as follows:
21.02.2025
Italy W
-
Wales W
1:0
Latest results of Wales W
Latest results of Italy W
UEFA Nations League Women Table
League AGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Germany W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 22 | 16 |
| 2 | Netherlands W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 | Austria W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:16 | -11 | 6 |
| 4 | Scotland W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:15 | -12 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | France W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Norway W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 | Iceland W | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Spain W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21:8 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | England W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 4 | Portugal W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:21 | -16 | 4 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sweden W | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Denmark W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 4 | Wales W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ UEFA Nations League Women (League A ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
UEFA Nations League Women (League A/B ~ Relegation: )
Relegation ~ UEFA Nations League Women (League B: )
