América Mineiro vs Ituano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Ituano
Result
3:2
12/11/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 36
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
1513
Shots on Goal
106
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
12
Free Kicks
169
Corner Kicks
78
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
1914
Goalkeeper Saves
47
Fouls
1017
Yellow Cards
04
Total Passes
592352
Completed Passes
503269

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Ricardo Silva (Own goal),
  • 19', Yann Rolim 🟨,
  • 38', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Nicolas , Elizari F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Vinicius Paiva , Bruno Xavier ,
  • 46', Salatiel , Leozinho ,
  • 46', Brenner , Matheus Davo ,
  • 53', Bruno Xavier 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Lucao ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Bruno Xavier , Yann Rolim (A),
  • 66', Rodrigo , Gabriel Falcao ,
  • 67', Rodriguinho , Vinicius ,
  • 67', Daniel Junior , Fabinho ,
  • 67', Ale , Wallisson ,
  • 78', Yann Rolim , Miqueias ,
  • 80', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
  • 83', Thonny Anderson , Neto Berola ,
  • 85', Elizari F. , Moises ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Fabinho , Lucao (A),

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
63.6%
Draw
21.3%
Ituano
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.1% 21% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 13.7% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-20.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • América Mineiro - Ituano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.41)
    4.42
    (4.43)
    6.2
    (7.16)
    6.8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Ituano?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 62.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Recent matches América MG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ituano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ituano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match América MG is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in América MG: Felipe Azevedo (Injury) Gustavinho (Injury) Martin Benitez (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ituano: Eduardo Diniz (Injury) Eduardo Person (Injury) Lipe (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury) Ze Eduardo (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches América MG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Ituano were as follows:
    23.07.2024 Ituano - América Mineiro 0:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Ituano
    04.11.2024 Ituano - CRB Maceio 1:2
    28.10.2024 Ituano - Santos 0:2
    23.10.2024 Botafogo SP - Ituano 0:1
    19.10.2024 Ituano - Ceará 1:2
    14.10.2024 Brusque - Ituano 1:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma1985623:17629
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10CRB1974820:18225
    11Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    12Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    13Operario-PR1965821:20123
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG19631020:26-621
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )