Result
0:0
18/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (265/317) | 84% (270/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (265/317) | 84% (270/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (26/39) | 57% (26/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (72/97) | 70% (47/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Augusto 🟨,
- 32', Iury Castilho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ze Lucas ↓, Biel Fonseca ↑,
- 46', Augusto ↓, Madson ↑,
- 51', Rafa Barcelos 🟨,
- 61', Iury Castilho ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
- 62', Marcelo Ajul ↓, Habraao ↑,
- 74', Dalbert ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 74', Yago Santos ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
- 84', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
- 84', Segovia M. ↓, Ale ↑,
- 84', Felipe Amaral ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
- 85', Madson 🟨,
- 90+3', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
45.9% | Draw
28.7% | Sport Recife
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
América Mineiro - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.53) |
3.24 ↑
(3) |
3.62 ↑
(2.87) |
7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Sport Recife?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - América MG (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - América MG (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): América Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.
- América MG has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Recife is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Recife has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Marcos
(Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, América MG won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Sport Recife?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against América Mineiro?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Sport Recife were as follows:
28.10.2024
América Mineiro
-
Sport Recife
2:1
13.07.2024
Sport Recife
-
América Mineiro
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventude | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ceara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | CRB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | America MG | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
