Result
0:0
13/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mateus Sarara ↓, Mirandinha ↑,
- 56', 🟨,
- 67', Bruno Silva ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
- 74', Cicinho ↓, Lucas Justen ↑,
- 74', Caio Mello ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 77', Vinicius Popo ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
- 77', Thiago Moraes 🟨,
- 84', Rian Kelvi ↓, Giva ↑,
- 90', Diego Torres ↓, Deni Junior ↑,
- 90+1', Ramon 🟨,
- 90+1', Leo Passos ↓, Nathan Silva ↑,
Chances of winning
Guarani
46.3% | Draw
29.8% | Ituano
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Guarani - Ituano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.84) |
3.08 ↑
(3.08) |
3.84 ↓
(4.21) |
8.9%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Guarani - Ituano?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ituano (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 2.
- Guarani is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Ituano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ituano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Guarani could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Ituano?
Guarani has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Guarani?
Ituano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Ituano were as follows:
05.10.2024
Ituano
-
Guarani
1:0
18.06.2024
Guarani
-
Ituano
3:3
27.01.2024
Ituano
-
Guarani
0:3
05.08.2023
Ituano
-
Guarani
1:1
21.01.2023
Guarani
-
Ituano
0:0
Latest results of Guarani
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Retro is Relegated to Serie D
Tombense is Relegated to Serie D
